Skip to main content
icon for Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

icon for Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$218,414 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$218,414 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Russian President Vladimir Putin met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in St. Petersburg on April 27, 2026, amid stalled US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad, propelling trader consensus to 100% "Yes" on this market.** The Kremlin-confirmed discussions covered Moscow's mediation offers, regional de-escalation, and strengthened bilateral ties, satisfying the resolution criteria well before the May 15 deadline. This timely diplomacy reflects deepening Russia-Iran alignment in ongoing Middle East tensions, with Putin pledging support for ceasefire efforts. While markets await final verification, realistic disruptions like disputed attendance details or canceled follow-ups remain improbable given official announcements and media coverage across outlets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$218,414
End Date
May 15, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Russian President Vladimir Putin met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in St. Petersburg on April 27, 2026, amid stalled US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad, propelling trader consensus to 100% "Yes" on this market.** The Kremlin-confirmed discussions covered Moscow's mediation offers, regional de-escalation, and strengthened bilateral ties, satisfying the resolution criteria well before the May 15 deadline. This timely diplomacy reflects deepening Russia-Iran alignment in ongoing Middle East tensions, with Putin pledging support for ceasefire efforts. While markets await final verification, realistic disruptions like disputed attendance details or canceled follow-ups remain improbable given official announcements and media coverage across outlets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$218,414
End Date
May 15, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" has generated $218.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.