Trader consensus heavily favors 77–80% voter turnout in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election at 95% implied probability, driven by record-breaking partial figures reported by the National Election Office during voting hours—reaching 77.8% by 6:30 p.m., surpassing the 2022 record of 73% and earlier highs like 70.5% in 2002. This surge reflects intense mobilization amid a closely contested race between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party, with pre-election polls signaling high stakes and opposition strongholds showing elevated participation. Historical turnout trends have risen steadily, but this election's fervor set new benchmarks. Final certification awaits, though downward revisions from overseas or provisional ballots could trim totals below 77%; upward momentum might push toward 80%+.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated77–80% 95.0%
80%+ 3.1%
74–77% <1%
<65% <1%
$1,335,072 Vol.
$1,335,072 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
<65%
<1%
65–68%
<1%
68–71%
<1%
71–74%
<1%
74–77%
<1%
77–80%
95%
80%+
3%
77–80% 95.0%
80%+ 3.1%
74–77% <1%
<65% <1%
$1,335,072 Vol.
$1,335,072 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
<65%
$94,991 Vol.
<1%
65–68%
$55,445 Vol.
<1%
68–71%
$136,655 Vol.
<1%
71–74%
$131,921 Vol.
<1%
74–77%
$277,154 Vol.
<1%
77–80%
$251,804 Vol.
95%
80%+
$387,102 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus heavily favors 77–80% voter turnout in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election at 95% implied probability, driven by record-breaking partial figures reported by the National Election Office during voting hours—reaching 77.8% by 6:30 p.m., surpassing the 2022 record of 73% and earlier highs like 70.5% in 2002. This surge reflects intense mobilization amid a closely contested race between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party, with pre-election polls signaling high stakes and opposition strongholds showing elevated participation. Historical turnout trends have risen steadily, but this election's fervor set new benchmarks. Final certification awaits, though downward revisions from overseas or provisional ballots could trim totals below 77%; upward momentum might push toward 80%+.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Volume
$1,335,072End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus heavily favors 77–80% voter turnout in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election at 95% implied probability, driven by record-breaking partial figures reported by the National Election Office during voting hours—reaching 77.8% by 6:30 p.m., surpassing the 2022 record of 73% and earlier highs like 70.5% in 2002. This surge reflects intense mobilization amid a closely contested race between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party, with pre-election polls signaling high stakes and opposition strongholds showing elevated participation. Historical turnout trends have risen steadily, but this election's fervor set new benchmarks. Final certification awaits, though downward revisions from overseas or provisional ballots could trim totals below 77%; upward momentum might push toward 80%+.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$1,335,072End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 77–80% voter turnout in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election at 95% implied probability, driven by record-breaking partial figures reported by the National Election Office during voting hours—reaching 77.8% by 6:30 p.m., surpassing the 2022 record of 73% and earlier highs like 70.5% in 2002. This surge reflects intense mobilization amid a closely contested race between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party, with pre-election polls signaling high stakes and opposition strongholds showing elevated participation. Historical turnout trends have risen steadily, but this election's fervor set new benchmarks. Final certification awaits, though downward revisions from overseas or provisional ballots could trim totals below 77%; upward momentum might push toward 80%+.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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