Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 77–80% voter turnout in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, driven by National Election Office preliminary data showing 77.8% participation by poll close—shattering the 2002 record of 70.5% and exceeding 2022's roughly 70%. Fierce competition between Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party spurred record early voting at 74.23% by 5 p.m., reflecting high mobilization amid polls projecting a Tisza lead and stakes after 16 years of Fidesz dominance. Historical turnout trends below 75% validate the surge as exceptional. Final certification could push above 80% via overseas ballots or drop slightly from invalid votes, though traders see low risk of deviation from the 77–80% range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated77–80% 96.2%
80%+ 3.8%
74–77% <1%
<65% <1%
$1,329,683 Vol.
$1,329,683 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
<65%
<1%
65–68%
<1%
68–71%
<1%
71–74%
<1%
74–77%
<1%
77–80%
96%
80%+
4%
77–80% 96.2%
80%+ 3.8%
74–77% <1%
<65% <1%
$1,329,683 Vol.
$1,329,683 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
<65%
$94,991 Vol.
<1%
65–68%
$55,445 Vol.
<1%
68–71%
$136,655 Vol.
<1%
71–74%
$131,916 Vol.
<1%
74–77%
$277,154 Vol.
<1%
77–80%
$246,441 Vol.
96%
80%+
$387,081 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 77–80% voter turnout in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, driven by National Election Office preliminary data showing 77.8% participation by poll close—shattering the 2002 record of 70.5% and exceeding 2022's roughly 70%. Fierce competition between Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party spurred record early voting at 74.23% by 5 p.m., reflecting high mobilization amid polls projecting a Tisza lead and stakes after 16 years of Fidesz dominance. Historical turnout trends below 75% validate the surge as exceptional. Final certification could push above 80% via overseas ballots or drop slightly from invalid votes, though traders see low risk of deviation from the 77–80% range.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Volume
$1,329,683End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 77–80% voter turnout in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, driven by National Election Office preliminary data showing 77.8% participation by poll close—shattering the 2002 record of 70.5% and exceeding 2022's roughly 70%. Fierce competition between Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party spurred record early voting at 74.23% by 5 p.m., reflecting high mobilization amid polls projecting a Tisza lead and stakes after 16 years of Fidesz dominance. Historical turnout trends below 75% validate the surge as exceptional. Final certification could push above 80% via overseas ballots or drop slightly from invalid votes, though traders see low risk of deviation from the 77–80% range.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$1,329,683End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 77–80% voter turnout in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, driven by National Election Office preliminary data showing 77.8% participation by poll close—shattering the 2002 record of 70.5% and exceeding 2022's roughly 70%. Fierce competition between Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party spurred record early voting at 74.23% by 5 p.m., reflecting high mobilization amid polls projecting a Tisza lead and stakes after 16 years of Fidesz dominance. Historical turnout trends below 75% validate the surge as exceptional. Final certification could push above 80% via overseas ballots or drop slightly from invalid votes, though traders see low risk of deviation from the 77–80% range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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