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Elections·Primaries

TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

icon for TX-19 Republican Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

Tom Sell 90.9%

Abraham Enriquez 4.5%

Ryan Zink <1%

Jason Corley <1%

Polymarket

$70,427 Vol.

Tom Sell 90.9%

Abraham Enriquez 4.5%

Ryan Zink <1%

Jason Corley <1%

Polymarket

$70,427 Vol.

Tom Sell

$45,798 Vol.

91%

Abraham Enriquez

$10,857 Vol.

5%

Ryan Zink

$1,733 Vol.

<1%

Jason Corley

$1,707 Vol.

<1%

Donald May

$3,790 Vol.

<1%

Matthew Smith

$3,151 Vol.

<1%

James Barbee

$3,390 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell's commanding lead in trader consensus for the Texas 19th Congressional District Republican primary stems from his dominant 40% performance in the March 3 first-round vote—more than double challenger Abraham Enriquez's 19%—following incumbent Jodey Arrington's 2025 retirement, which opened the safe GOP seat. Recent endorsements from key conservatives, including House Judiciary Chairman Jim Jordan, Agriculture Committee veteran Frank Lucas, and local groups like Lubbock Young Republicans, alongside former primary rivals' backing and Sell's fundraising edge as a fifth-generation West Texas rancher emphasizing agriculture and rural issues, have solidified his frontrunner status ahead of the May 26 runoff. While Enriquez courts Trump-aligned voters, a dramatic shift would require a major endorsement, scandal hitting Sell, or unexpected turnout surge among low-propensity primary voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$70,427
End Date
May 26, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell's commanding lead in trader consensus for the Texas 19th Congressional District Republican primary stems from his dominant 40% performance in the March 3 first-round vote—more than double challenger Abraham Enriquez's 19%—following incumbent Jodey Arrington's 2025 retirement, which opened the safe GOP seat. Recent endorsements from key conservatives, including House Judiciary Chairman Jim Jordan, Agriculture Committee veteran Frank Lucas, and local groups like Lubbock Young Republicans, alongside former primary rivals' backing and Sell's fundraising edge as a fifth-generation West Texas rancher emphasizing agriculture and rural issues, have solidified his frontrunner status ahead of the May 26 runoff. While Enriquez courts Trump-aligned voters, a dramatic shift would require a major endorsement, scandal hitting Sell, or unexpected turnout surge among low-propensity primary voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$70,427
End Date
May 26, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"TX-19 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Sell" at 91%, followed by "Abraham Enriquez" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "TX-19 Republican Primary Winner" has generated $70.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "TX-19 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "TX-19 Republican Primary Winner" is "Tom Sell" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Abraham Enriquez" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "TX-19 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.