Amid a fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire expiring around April 22, diplomats led by Pakistan are pushing for a second round of direct high-level talks after marathon Islamabad negotiations on April 11-12 yielded no agreement. US Vice President JD Vance, envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff engaged Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi—the first face-to-face since 1979—amid a US blockade on the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump indicated second talks could occur within days, reflecting urgency for de-escalation in ongoing Middle East hostilities, with Pakistani mediation fostering cautious optimism for progress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1,242,434 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
April 16
<1%
April 17
2%
April 18
7%
April 22
65%
April 30
89%
$1,242,434 Vol.
April 16
$112,594 Vol.
<1%
April 17
$65,523 Vol.
2%
April 18
$615,460 Vol.
7%
April 22
$242,697 Vol.
65%
April 30
$131,645 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid a fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire expiring around April 22, diplomats led by Pakistan are pushing for a second round of direct high-level talks after marathon Islamabad negotiations on April 11-12 yielded no agreement. US Vice President JD Vance, envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff engaged Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi—the first face-to-face since 1979—amid a US blockade on the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump indicated second talks could occur within days, reflecting urgency for de-escalation in ongoing Middle East hostilities, with Pakistani mediation fostering cautious optimism for progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,242,434End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid a fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire expiring around April 22, diplomats led by Pakistan are pushing for a second round of direct high-level talks after marathon Islamabad negotiations on April 11-12 yielded no agreement. US Vice President JD Vance, envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff engaged Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi—the first face-to-face since 1979—amid a US blockade on the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump indicated second talks could occur within days, reflecting urgency for de-escalation in ongoing Middle East hostilities, with Pakistani mediation fostering cautious optimism for progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,242,434End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid a fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire expiring around April 22, diplomats led by Pakistan are pushing for a second round of direct high-level talks after marathon Islamabad negotiations on April 11-12 yielded no agreement. US Vice President JD Vance, envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff engaged Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi—the first face-to-face since 1979—amid a US blockade on the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump indicated second talks could occur within days, reflecting urgency for de-escalation in ongoing Middle East hostilities, with Pakistani mediation fostering cautious optimism for progress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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