Amid escalating tensions from the US blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz, the first direct high-level US-Iran talks since 1979 convened in Islamabad on April 11, led by Vice President JD Vance, envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi plus parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, but collapsed after 21 hours without agreement on ceasefire extension, uranium enrichment pause, or shipping access. Diplomats are now pushing for a second round potentially this week via Pakistani mediation, underscored by the Pakistani army chief's Tehran visit today, amid a fragile two-week truce; these developments drive trader focus on imminent diplomacy before April 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1,209,429 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
April 16
1%
April 17
4%
April 18
8%
April 22
68%
April 30
90%
$1,209,429 Vol.
April 16
$104,822 Vol.
1%
April 17
$62,231 Vol.
4%
April 18
$608,817 Vol.
8%
April 22
$236,518 Vol.
68%
April 30
$129,908 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating tensions from the US blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz, the first direct high-level US-Iran talks since 1979 convened in Islamabad on April 11, led by Vice President JD Vance, envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi plus parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, but collapsed after 21 hours without agreement on ceasefire extension, uranium enrichment pause, or shipping access. Diplomats are now pushing for a second round potentially this week via Pakistani mediation, underscored by the Pakistani army chief's Tehran visit today, amid a fragile two-week truce; these developments drive trader focus on imminent diplomacy before April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,209,429End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating tensions from the US blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz, the first direct high-level US-Iran talks since 1979 convened in Islamabad on April 11, led by Vice President JD Vance, envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi plus parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, but collapsed after 21 hours without agreement on ceasefire extension, uranium enrichment pause, or shipping access. Diplomats are now pushing for a second round potentially this week via Pakistani mediation, underscored by the Pakistani army chief's Tehran visit today, amid a fragile two-week truce; these developments drive trader focus on imminent diplomacy before April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,209,429End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating tensions from the US blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz, the first direct high-level US-Iran talks since 1979 convened in Islamabad on April 11, led by Vice President JD Vance, envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi plus parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, but collapsed after 21 hours without agreement on ceasefire extension, uranium enrichment pause, or shipping access. Diplomats are now pushing for a second round potentially this week via Pakistani mediation, underscored by the Pakistani army chief's Tehran visit today, amid a fragile two-week truce; these developments drive trader focus on imminent diplomacy before April 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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