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Politics·Trump

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?

icon for What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?
Politics·Trump

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?

$37,197 Vol.

May 5, 2026
Polymarket

$37,197 Vol.

Polymarket

Trump 3+ times

$2,886 Vol.

Yes

Manufacturing

$3,939 Vol.

Yes

Subsidize

$525 Vol.

No

Iowa

$1,793 Vol.

Yes

Family

$1,081 Vol.

Yes

Transparency

$1,692 Vol.

No

Abortion

$3,974 Vol.

No

Bipartisan

$905 Vol.

No

Job

$1,798 Vol.

Yes

China

$850 Vol.

Yes

Competitor

$616 Vol.

No

Tariff

$2,336 Vol.

Yes

Racism

$353 Vol.

No

Fight

$2,019 Vol.

Yes

Worker

$814 Vol.

Yes

Ukraine

$1,343 Vol.

No

Community

$1,399 Vol.

Yes

Incumbent

$1,035 Vol.

No

Consensus

$1,132 Vol.

No

Bilateral

$661 Vol.

No

-No Qualifying Event-

$6,044 Vol.

No

JD Vance is scheduled to visit Des Moines on May 5, 2026 (https://www.kwqc.com/2026/05/02/vice-president-jd-vance-visit-iowa-manufacturing-facility-tuesday/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during events in Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Vance is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about JD Vance's visit to Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.Vice President JD Vance delivered remarks on May 5, 2026, at Ex-Guard Industries in Des Moines, Iowa—his first visit to the state since taking office—alongside Rep. Zach Nunn (R-IA) to rally support ahead of Iowa's June primaries and the 2026 midterms. Vance promoted Trump administration tax cuts for American manufacturers, tariffs targeting China for undercutting Iowa jobs, and SNAP reforms cracking down on fraud, including quips about denying benefits to "dead people" and Lamborghini owners. He criticized Democrats on economic policy while emphasizing reelecting Republicans to sustain progress. Traders should review full C-SPAN or YouTube videos for verbatim phrasing, as markets hinge on specific wording; Nunn's competitive race adds midterm stakes.

JD Vance is scheduled to visit Des Moines on May 5, 2026 (https://www.kwqc.com/2026/05/02/vice-president-jd-vance-visit-iowa-manufacturing-facility-tuesday/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during events in Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Vance is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about JD Vance's visit to Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,197
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
JD Vance is scheduled to visit Des Moines on May 5, 2026 (https://www.kwqc.com/2026/05/02/vice-president-jd-vance-visit-iowa-manufacturing-facility-tuesday/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during events in Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Vance is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about JD Vance's visit to Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

JD Vance is scheduled to visit Des Moines on May 5, 2026 (https://www.kwqc.com/2026/05/02/vice-president-jd-vance-visit-iowa-manufacturing-facility-tuesday/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during events in Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Vance is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about JD Vance's visit to Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.Vice President JD Vance delivered remarks on May 5, 2026, at Ex-Guard Industries in Des Moines, Iowa—his first visit to the state since taking office—alongside Rep. Zach Nunn (R-IA) to rally support ahead of Iowa's June primaries and the 2026 midterms. Vance promoted Trump administration tax cuts for American manufacturers, tariffs targeting China for undercutting Iowa jobs, and SNAP reforms cracking down on fraud, including quips about denying benefits to "dead people" and Lamborghini owners. He criticized Democrats on economic policy while emphasizing reelecting Republicans to sustain progress. Traders should review full C-SPAN or YouTube videos for verbatim phrasing, as markets hinge on specific wording; Nunn's competitive race adds midterm stakes.

JD Vance is scheduled to visit Des Moines on May 5, 2026 (https://www.kwqc.com/2026/05/02/vice-president-jd-vance-visit-iowa-manufacturing-facility-tuesday/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during events in Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Vance is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about JD Vance's visit to Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,197
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
JD Vance is scheduled to visit Des Moines on May 5, 2026 (https://www.kwqc.com/2026/05/02/vice-president-jd-vance-visit-iowa-manufacturing-facility-tuesday/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during events in Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Vance is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about JD Vance's visit to Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump 3+ times" at 100%, followed by "Manufacturing" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?" has generated $37.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?" is "Trump 3+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Manufacturing" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.