Amid escalating US-Iran military confrontation since early March 2026, which collapsed commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz before a slow resumption via an IRGC-tolled northern corridor, the US Navy has sailed destroyers through the strait and positioned amphibious groups like USS Tripoli and USS Boxer nearby for potential tanker escorts. India launched Operation Urja Suraksha, deploying five warships to guide its cargo vessels exiting the chokepoint. President Trump urged allies—UK, France, Japan, South Korea, and others—to send warships, prompting a joint statement from seven nations expressing readiness but no confirmed deployments amid missile, drone, and mine risks. Multinational planning continues, with escalation or diplomatic breakthroughs possible before April 30 resolution.[[1]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0SELRtaciaI)[[2]](https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/op-urja-suraksha-navy-deploys-5-warships-to-guide-cargo-vessels-exiting-troubled-strait-of-hormuz/articleshow/129813914.cms)
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
United States
42%
United Kingdom
7%
France
6%
Greece
5%
Canada
5%
Pakistan
5%
Japan
5%
Italy
4%
Germany
3%
Netherlands
2%
India
2%
$2,162 Vol.
United States
$0 Vol.
42%
United Kingdom
$300 Vol.
7%
France
$420 Vol.
6%
Greece
$125 Vol.
5%
Canada
$142 Vol.
5%
Pakistan
$122 Vol.
5%
Japan
$142 Vol.
5%
Italy
$223 Vol.
4%
Germany
$403 Vol.
3%
Netherlands
$158 Vol.
2%
India
$127 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Amid escalating US-Iran military confrontation since early March 2026, which collapsed commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz before a slow resumption via an IRGC-tolled northern corridor, the US Navy has sailed destroyers through the strait and positioned amphibious groups like USS Tripoli and USS Boxer nearby for potential tanker escorts. India launched Operation Urja Suraksha, deploying five warships to guide its cargo vessels exiting the chokepoint. President Trump urged allies—UK, France, Japan, South Korea, and others—to send warships, prompting a joint statement from seven nations expressing readiness but no confirmed deployments amid missile, drone, and mine risks. Multinational planning continues, with escalation or diplomatic breakthroughs possible before April 30 resolution.[[1]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0SELRtaciaI)[[2]](https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/op-urja-suraksha-navy-deploys-5-warships-to-guide-cargo-vessels-exiting-troubled-strait-of-hormuz/articleshow/129813914.cms)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 1:36 PM ET
Volume
$2,162End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Amid escalating US-Iran military confrontation since early March 2026, which collapsed commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz before a slow resumption via an IRGC-tolled northern corridor, the US Navy has sailed destroyers through the strait and positioned amphibious groups like USS Tripoli and USS Boxer nearby for potential tanker escorts. India launched Operation Urja Suraksha, deploying five warships to guide its cargo vessels exiting the chokepoint. President Trump urged allies—UK, France, Japan, South Korea, and others—to send warships, prompting a joint statement from seven nations expressing readiness but no confirmed deployments amid missile, drone, and mine risks. Multinational planning continues, with escalation or diplomatic breakthroughs possible before April 30 resolution.[[1]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0SELRtaciaI)[[2]](https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/op-urja-suraksha-navy-deploys-5-warships-to-guide-cargo-vessels-exiting-troubled-strait-of-hormuz/articleshow/129813914.cms)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$2,162End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating US-Iran military confrontation since early March 2026, which collapsed commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz before a slow resumption via an IRGC-tolled northern corridor, the US Navy has sailed destroyers through the strait and positioned amphibious groups like USS Tripoli and USS Boxer nearby for potential tanker escorts. India launched Operation Urja Suraksha, deploying five warships to guide its cargo vessels exiting the chokepoint. President Trump urged allies—UK, France, Japan, South Korea, and others—to send warships, prompting a joint statement from seven nations expressing readiness but no confirmed deployments amid missile, drone, and mine risks. Multinational planning continues, with escalation or diplomatic breakthroughs possible before April 30 resolution.[[1]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0SELRtaciaI)[[2]](https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/op-urja-suraksha-navy-deploys-5-warships-to-guide-cargo-vessels-exiting-troubled-strait-of-hormuz/articleshow/129813914.cms)
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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