OpenAI’s September 8 announcement that an internal model coordinated roughly 10,000 agents to produce a Lean-formalized proof of a singularity in the Navier-Stokes equations—one of the Clay Millennium Prize Problems—has sharply raised trader expectations for additional 2026 breakthroughs. The result followed months of accelerating AI performance on research-level tasks, including medal-level IMO solutions by DeepMind systems, progress on Erdős problems, and partial advances toward the Riemann hypothesis by Anthropic’s Claude. Multi-agent workflows, extended chain-of-thought reasoning, and formal verification tools are now central to competitive dynamics among OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google. Key catalysts ahead include further FrontierMath resolutions, earnings updates on model releases, and independent verification of the Navier-Stokes claim amid ongoing disputes over prior human-AI collaborative work.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$10,458 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Hodge Conjecture
42%
Hadwiger-Nelson Problem
34%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
33%
Beal's Conjecture
27%
Hadamard Matrix Conjecture
18%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)
15%
Strong Goldbach Conjecture
14%
Collatz Conjecture
12%
Yang-Mills
12%
Twin Prime Conjecture
12%
Odd Perfect Number
11%
Riemann Hypothesis
10%
Legendre's Conjecture
6%
P versus NP
4%
$10,458 Vol.
Hodge Conjecture
$1,866 Vol.
42%
Hadwiger-Nelson Problem
$97 Vol.
34%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
$1,884 Vol.
33%
Beal's Conjecture
$84 Vol.
27%
Hadamard Matrix Conjecture
$475 Vol.
18%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)
$457 Vol.
15%
Strong Goldbach Conjecture
$395 Vol.
14%
Collatz Conjecture
$478 Vol.
12%
Yang-Mills
$200 Vol.
12%
Twin Prime Conjecture
$284 Vol.
12%
Odd Perfect Number
$1,103 Vol.
11%
Riemann Hypothesis
$1,174 Vol.
10%
Legendre's Conjecture
$1,105 Vol.
6%
P versus NP
$856 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8 announcement that an internal model coordinated roughly 10,000 agents to produce a Lean-formalized proof of a singularity in the Navier-Stokes equations—one of the Clay Millennium Prize Problems—has sharply raised trader expectations for additional 2026 breakthroughs. The result followed months of accelerating AI performance on research-level tasks, including medal-level IMO solutions by DeepMind systems, progress on Erdős problems, and partial advances toward the Riemann hypothesis by Anthropic’s Claude. Multi-agent workflows, extended chain-of-thought reasoning, and formal verification tools are now central to competitive dynamics among OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google. Key catalysts ahead include further FrontierMath resolutions, earnings updates on model releases, and independent verification of the Navier-Stokes claim amid ongoing disputes over prior human-AI collaborative work.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Volume
$10,458End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8 announcement that an internal model coordinated roughly 10,000 agents to produce a Lean-formalized proof of a singularity in the Navier-Stokes equations—one of the Clay Millennium Prize Problems—has sharply raised trader expectations for additional 2026 breakthroughs. The result followed months of accelerating AI performance on research-level tasks, including medal-level IMO solutions by DeepMind systems, progress on Erdős problems, and partial advances toward the Riemann hypothesis by Anthropic’s Claude. Multi-agent workflows, extended chain-of-thought reasoning, and formal verification tools are now central to competitive dynamics among OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google. Key catalysts ahead include further FrontierMath resolutions, earnings updates on model releases, and independent verification of the Navier-Stokes claim amid ongoing disputes over prior human-AI collaborative work.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,458End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 8 announcement that an internal model coordinated roughly 10,000 agents to produce a Lean-formalized proof of a singularity in the Navier-Stokes equations—one of the Clay Millennium Prize Problems—has sharply raised trader expectations for additional 2026 breakthroughs. The result followed months of accelerating AI performance on research-level tasks, including medal-level IMO solutions by DeepMind systems, progress on Erdős problems, and partial advances toward the Riemann hypothesis by Anthropic’s Claude. Multi-agent workflows, extended chain-of-thought reasoning, and formal verification tools are now central to competitive dynamics among OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google. Key catalysts ahead include further FrontierMath resolutions, earnings updates on model releases, and independent verification of the Navier-Stokes claim amid ongoing disputes over prior human-AI collaborative work.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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