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Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?

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Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Apr 1

Mar 28

Mar 29

Apr 1

15°C 30%

16°C 28%

14°C 21%

17°C or higher 20%

Polymarket
NEW

15°C 30%

16°C 28%

14°C 21%

17°C or higher 20%

Polymarket
NEW

7°C or below

$301 Vol.

<1%

8°C

$348 Vol.

3%

9°C

$408 Vol.

3%

10°C

$728 Vol.

3%

11°C

$44 Vol.

9%

12°C

$71 Vol.

12%

13°C

$51 Vol.

12%

14°C

$57 Vol.

21%

15°C

$82 Vol.

30%

16°C

$53 Vol.

28%

17°C or higher

$221 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 15°C (32% implied probability) and 16°C (26%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 1, reflecting the latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, which project daytime highs near 14-15°C amid mostly cloudy skies and possible afternoon showers. This positioning stems from lingering effects of a recent cool air mass and upper-level trough that suppressed March temperatures, including a sharp cooldown from 16°C highs on March 28. Differentiating factors include variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing—persistent overcast could cap peaks at 14°C (17.5%), while brief clearing might allow 16-17°C. New model runs expected every 12 hours will sharpen uncertainty as the event nears.

Trader consensus favors 15°C (32% implied probability) and 16°C (26%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 1, reflecting the latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, which project daytime highs near 14-15°C amid mostly cloudy skies and possible afternoon showers. This positioning stems from lingering effects of a recent cool air mass and upper-level trough that suppressed March temperatures, including a sharp cooldown from 16°C highs on March 28. Differentiating factors include variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing—persistent overcast could cap peaks at 14°C (17.5%), while brief clearing might allow 16-17°C. New model runs expected every 12 hours will sharpen uncertainty as the event nears.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 15°C (32% implied probability) and 16°C (26%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 1, reflecting the latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, which project daytime highs near 14-15°C amid mostly cloudy skies and possible afternoon showers. This positioning stems from lingering effects of a recent cool air mass and upper-level trough that suppressed March temperatures, including a sharp cooldown from 16°C highs on March 28. Differentiating factors include variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing—persistent overcast could cap peaks at 14°C (17.5%), while brief clearing might allow 16-17°C. New model runs expected every 12 hours will sharpen uncertainty as the event nears.

Trader consensus favors 15°C (32% implied probability) and 16°C (26%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 1, reflecting the latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, which project daytime highs near 14-15°C amid mostly cloudy skies and possible afternoon showers. This positioning stems from lingering effects of a recent cool air mass and upper-level trough that suppressed March temperatures, including a sharp cooldown from 16°C highs on March 28. Differentiating factors include variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing—persistent overcast could cap peaks at 14°C (17.5%), while brief clearing might allow 16-17°C. New model runs expected every 12 hours will sharpen uncertainty as the event nears.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 15°C » à 30%, suivi de « 16°C » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 30¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 30% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 28, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1? » est « 15°C » à 30%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 30% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 16°C » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.