Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Taipei's highest temperature on March 29, with models split across 22–27°C due to the timing of a weak cold front and variable cloud cover. The Central Weather Administration's latest guidance points to a daytime high near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, but global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show divergence, with some runs favoring cooler outcomes below 23°C from increased frontal influence or overnight cooling. Historical March averages hover around 23°C, amplified by Taipei's urban heat island effect. Traders await the next 12-hour forecast update from CWA, which could sharpen probabilities as observational data refines model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
22°C or below 24%
26°C 20%
29°C 19%
23°C 19%
22°C or below
24%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
18%
26°C
20%
27°C
17%
28°C
17%
29°C
15%
30°C
14%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
3%
22°C or below 24%
26°C 20%
29°C 19%
23°C 19%
22°C or below
24%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
18%
26°C
20%
27°C
17%
28°C
17%
29°C
15%
30°C
14%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Taipei's highest temperature on March 29, with models split across 22–27°C due to the timing of a weak cold front and variable cloud cover. The Central Weather Administration's latest guidance points to a daytime high near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, but global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show divergence, with some runs favoring cooler outcomes below 23°C from increased frontal influence or overnight cooling. Historical March averages hover around 23°C, amplified by Taipei's urban heat island effect. Traders await the next 12-hour forecast update from CWA, which could sharpen probabilities as observational data refines model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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