Trader consensus on Wuhan's highest temperature on March 29 centers tightly around 22–24°C at roughly 20% implied probabilities each, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ECMWF model ensembles projecting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s under a ridge of high pressure fostering mild southerly winds and mostly sunny skies. Recent surface observations indicate overnight lows near 15°C with daytime warming potential enhanced by urban heat island effects in the city, though differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon cloud development or light showers, which could cap peaks at 21–22°C or allow 24°C+ if skies clear fully. Hourly forecast updates from CMA later today will likely sharpen this narrow uncertainty range as the date nears resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 29?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 29?
22°C 23%
21°C 21%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
11%
20°C
18%
21°C
21%
22°C
23%
23°C
20%
24°C
20%
25°C
15%
26°C
14%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
2%
22°C 23%
21°C 21%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
11%
20°C
18%
21°C
21%
22°C
23%
23°C
20%
24°C
20%
25°C
15%
26°C
14%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Wuhan's highest temperature on March 29 centers tightly around 22–24°C at roughly 20% implied probabilities each, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ECMWF model ensembles projecting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s under a ridge of high pressure fostering mild southerly winds and mostly sunny skies. Recent surface observations indicate overnight lows near 15°C with daytime warming potential enhanced by urban heat island effects in the city, though differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon cloud development or light showers, which could cap peaks at 21–22°C or allow 24°C+ if skies clear fully. Hourly forecast updates from CMA later today will likely sharpen this narrow uncertainty range as the date nears resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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