Trader sentiment on Wellington's highest temperature on March 26 hinges on MetService NZ's latest forecast projecting a daytime max of 19°C under persistent cool southerly winds from a low-pressure system to the north, capping highs just shy of 20°C. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS diverge slightly, with a 30% implied probability for 20°C+ reflecting potential clearer skies and brief northerly shifts boosting solar heating, while 19°C leads due to observed cloud cover and sea breezes tempering peaks around 2-4 PM. Historical March averages near 19.5°C and recent cool anomalies further differentiate these tight odds, with resolution tied to official NIWA observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on March 26?
Highest temperature in Wellington on March 26?
20°C or higher 31%
19°C 30%
18°C 18%
17°C 16%
$51,562 Vol.
$51,562 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
16%
18°C
18%
19°C
30%
20°C or higher
31%
20°C or higher 31%
19°C 30%
18°C 18%
17°C 16%
$51,562 Vol.
$51,562 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
16%
18°C
18%
19°C
30%
20°C or higher
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Wellington's highest temperature on March 26 hinges on MetService NZ's latest forecast projecting a daytime max of 19°C under persistent cool southerly winds from a low-pressure system to the north, capping highs just shy of 20°C. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS diverge slightly, with a 30% implied probability for 20°C+ reflecting potential clearer skies and brief northerly shifts boosting solar heating, while 19°C leads due to observed cloud cover and sea breezes tempering peaks around 2-4 PM. Historical March averages near 19.5°C and recent cool anomalies further differentiate these tight odds, with resolution tied to official NIWA observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes