Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 21–24°C for Beijing's March 27 high temperature, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models averaging 22°C amid mild southerly winds displacing typical spring cold fronts. Recent CMA observations confirm daytime highs near 20°C in prior days, with urban heat island effects in Beijing amplifying peaks by 1–2°C above rural stations. Differentiating factors include model spread—ECMWF's warmer bias (23°C) versus GFS conservatism (21°C)—and uncertainty from variable cloud cover, where partial sunshine could push toward 24°C while haze caps at 21°C. Historical March 27 averages hover at 15°C, underscoring this as an above-normal outlook influenced by shifting jet stream patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Beijing on March 27?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 27?
21°C 32%
22°C 31%
23°C 21%
19°C 18%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
19%
20°C
13%
21°C
28%
22°C
27%
23°C
21%
24°C
17%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 32%
22°C 31%
23°C 21%
19°C 18%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
19%
20°C
13%
21°C
28%
22°C
27%
23°C
21%
24°C
17%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 21–24°C for Beijing's March 27 high temperature, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models averaging 22°C amid mild southerly winds displacing typical spring cold fronts. Recent CMA observations confirm daytime highs near 20°C in prior days, with urban heat island effects in Beijing amplifying peaks by 1–2°C above rural stations. Differentiating factors include model spread—ECMWF's warmer bias (23°C) versus GFS conservatism (21°C)—and uncertainty from variable cloud cover, where partial sunshine could push toward 24°C while haze caps at 21°C. Historical March 27 averages hover at 15°C, underscoring this as an above-normal outlook influenced by shifting jet stream patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes