Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high temperature of 56-59°F on March 28, with 56-57°F leading at 32.5%, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 57°F under partly cloudy skies and mild southerly flow. This tight clustering reflects model agreement on Pacific high-pressure ridging moderating marine air influence, capping extremes while allowing slight diurnal warming. Differentiating the top bins are subtle variations in boundary layer mixing and stratus deck persistence—cooler if low clouds thicken (favoring 54-55°F), warmer with clearer afternoons (pushing 58-59°F). Historical March 28 averages hover at 56°F, underscoring low risk for outliers beyond 60°F amid typical spring volatility. NWS point forecast updates today could shift odds further.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seattle on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 28?
56-57°F 33%
54-55°F 29%
58-59°F 26%
52-53°F 15%
51°F or below
3%
52-53°F
10%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
33%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
2%
70°F or higher
1%
56-57°F 33%
54-55°F 29%
58-59°F 26%
52-53°F 15%
51°F or below
3%
52-53°F
10%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
33%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
2%
70°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high temperature of 56-59°F on March 28, with 56-57°F leading at 32.5%, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 57°F under partly cloudy skies and mild southerly flow. This tight clustering reflects model agreement on Pacific high-pressure ridging moderating marine air influence, capping extremes while allowing slight diurnal warming. Differentiating the top bins are subtle variations in boundary layer mixing and stratus deck persistence—cooler if low clouds thicken (favoring 54-55°F), warmer with clearer afternoons (pushing 58-59°F). Historical March 28 averages hover at 56°F, underscoring low risk for outliers beyond 60°F amid typical spring volatility. NWS point forecast updates today could shift odds further.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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