Trader consensus favors a high of 68°F or higher in Dallas on March 28 at 41% implied probability, propelled by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting peaks near 70°F amid a building upper-level ridge over Texas. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF exhibit tight spread around upper 60s, following a recent cold frontal passage that cleared lingering clouds and moisture. Historical March highs average 67°F, but current jet stream positioning diverts arctic air northward, boosting mild advection. Lower bins like 66-67°F (20%) gain traction as conservative model tails, with traders monitoring 00Z updates for any southerly wind shifts altering boundary layer mixing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
68°F or higher 41%
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 13%
60-61°F 9%
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
7%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
20%
68°F or higher
41%
68°F or higher 41%
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 13%
60-61°F 9%
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
7%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
20%
68°F or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a high of 68°F or higher in Dallas on March 28 at 41% implied probability, propelled by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting peaks near 70°F amid a building upper-level ridge over Texas. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF exhibit tight spread around upper 60s, following a recent cold frontal passage that cleared lingering clouds and moisture. Historical March highs average 67°F, but current jet stream positioning diverts arctic air northward, boosting mild advection. Lower bins like 66-67°F (20%) gain traction as conservative model tails, with traders monitoring 00Z updates for any southerly wind shifts altering boundary layer mixing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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