Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 82-83°F in Dallas on March 27, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting a strong upper-level ridge over the southern Plains, fostering warm advection and downslope flow from the west. This setup favors highs in the low 80s amid light winds and minimal cloud cover, per NWS forecast discussions, outpacing cooler 74-75°F odds that hinge on lingering boundary layer mixing or unexpected diurnal clouds from residual Gulf moisture. Historical late-March volatility—Dallas normals around 70°F with 10-15°F standard deviations—amplifies model spread, while upcoming 12z model runs could sharpen implied probabilities as traders weigh convective risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Dallas on March 27?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 27?
74-75°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 15%
78-79°F 13%
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
12%
86°F or higher
9%
74-75°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 15%
78-79°F 13%
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
12%
86°F or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 82-83°F in Dallas on March 27, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting a strong upper-level ridge over the southern Plains, fostering warm advection and downslope flow from the west. This setup favors highs in the low 80s amid light winds and minimal cloud cover, per NWS forecast discussions, outpacing cooler 74-75°F odds that hinge on lingering boundary layer mixing or unexpected diurnal clouds from residual Gulf moisture. Historical late-March volatility—Dallas normals around 70°F with 10-15°F standard deviations—amplifies model spread, while upcoming 12z model runs could sharpen implied probabilities as traders weigh convective risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes