Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and U.S. Global Forecast System (GFS) place Milan's highest temperature on March 28 around 16-18°C, driving trader consensus with 17°C at 29%, 16°C at 27.5%, and 18°C at 25%. This mild outlook stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Mediterranean, ushering in warmer Atlantic air masses after recent cool snaps, with model runs showing 2-3°C spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover, southerly winds, and urban heat effects in Milan. Diurnal maxima typically occur mid-afternoon at stations like Linate Airport; new 00Z updates expected overnight could refine probabilities amid typical late-March variability, where historical highs average 14-16°C but anomalies arise from jet stream positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on March 28?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?
17°C 29%
16°C 27%
18°C 25%
19°C 11%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
6%
16°C
27%
17°C
29%
18°C
25%
19°C
11%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
4%
17°C 29%
16°C 27%
18°C 25%
19°C 11%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
6%
16°C
27%
17°C
29%
18°C
25%
19°C
11%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and U.S. Global Forecast System (GFS) place Milan's highest temperature on March 28 around 16-18°C, driving trader consensus with 17°C at 29%, 16°C at 27.5%, and 18°C at 25%. This mild outlook stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Mediterranean, ushering in warmer Atlantic air masses after recent cool snaps, with model runs showing 2-3°C spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover, southerly winds, and urban heat effects in Milan. Diurnal maxima typically occur mid-afternoon at stations like Linate Airport; new 00Z updates expected overnight could refine probabilities amid typical late-March variability, where historical highs average 14-16°C but anomalies arise from jet stream positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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