Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 27°C or higher in Buenos Aires on March 28 (65% implied probability), driven by ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models projecting peaks near 29°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over southern South America. Recent observations show preceding days already exceeding 28°C, with urban heat island effects amplifying temperatures at key measurement sites like Aeroparque. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest outlook aligns, citing dry northerly winds and above-normal seasonal anomalies for late March, when historical averages hover around 24°C. Lower outcomes like 26°C (18.5%) reflect minor model divergences, but volatility remains low with high confidence in warmth ahead of evening updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 28?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 28?
27°C or higher 66%
26°C 20%
24°C 5%
25°C 5%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
20%
27°C or higher
66%
27°C or higher 66%
26°C 20%
24°C 5%
25°C 5%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
20%
27°C or higher
66%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 27°C or higher in Buenos Aires on March 28 (65% implied probability), driven by ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models projecting peaks near 29°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over southern South America. Recent observations show preceding days already exceeding 28°C, with urban heat island effects amplifying temperatures at key measurement sites like Aeroparque. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest outlook aligns, citing dry northerly winds and above-normal seasonal anomalies for late March, when historical averages hover around 24°C. Lower outcomes like 26°C (18.5%) reflect minor model divergences, but volatility remains low with high confidence in warmth ahead of evening updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes