Ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS currently converge on Seoul's March 28 high temperature clustering around 16-18°C, fueling trader sentiment for 17°C (22%) and 18°C+ (21%) as co-leaders amid tight odds. Mild southerly winds and a building high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula support these warmer outcomes, contrasting cooler 12-15°C bids (45% combined) tied to potential late-season cold front remnants from Siberia. Historical March 28 highs average 13.5°C with a 5°C standard deviation, underscoring model spread risks; traders await tomorrow's 12Z updates, as small shifts in jet stream positioning could tip resolutions by 2-3°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
17°C 21%
18°C or higher 19%
16°C 16%
15°C 15%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
7%
11°C
5%
12°C
14%
13°C
6%
14°C
15%
15°C
15%
16°C
16%
17°C
21%
18°C or higher
19%
17°C 21%
18°C or higher 19%
16°C 16%
15°C 15%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
7%
11°C
5%
12°C
14%
13°C
6%
14°C
15%
15°C
15%
16°C
16%
17°C
21%
18°C or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS currently converge on Seoul's March 28 high temperature clustering around 16-18°C, fueling trader sentiment for 17°C (22%) and 18°C+ (21%) as co-leaders amid tight odds. Mild southerly winds and a building high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula support these warmer outcomes, contrasting cooler 12-15°C bids (45% combined) tied to potential late-season cold front remnants from Siberia. Historical March 28 highs average 13.5°C with a 5°C standard deviation, underscoring model spread risks; traders await tomorrow's 12Z updates, as small shifts in jet stream positioning could tip resolutions by 2-3°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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