Trader consensus on Polymarket pins the highest temperature in Singapore on March 28 at a razor-thin contest between 33°C (36.5% implied probability) and 32°C (36.0%), driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast projecting fair conditions with peaks near 33°C amid the March inter-monsoon lull. Singapore's equatorial climate delivers consistent March highs averaging 32.4°C at Changi station, modulated by sea breezes but intensified by urban heat island effects and lingering weak El Niño influences. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability—sparse cover favors 33°C via enhanced solar insolation—versus GFS model hints of slight cooling from northeasterly winds, with historical data showing 33°C on 38% of recent March 28ths and negligible rain risk amplifying heat buildup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Singapore on March 28?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 28?
32°C 36%
33°C 34%
34°C 12%
31°C 11%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
12%
32°C
36%
33°C
34%
34°C
12%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
32°C 36%
33°C 34%
34°C 12%
31°C 11%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
12%
32°C
36%
33°C
34%
34°C
12%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pins the highest temperature in Singapore on March 28 at a razor-thin contest between 33°C (36.5% implied probability) and 32°C (36.0%), driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast projecting fair conditions with peaks near 33°C amid the March inter-monsoon lull. Singapore's equatorial climate delivers consistent March highs averaging 32.4°C at Changi station, modulated by sea breezes but intensified by urban heat island effects and lingering weak El Niño influences. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability—sparse cover favors 33°C via enhanced solar insolation—versus GFS model hints of slight cooling from northeasterly winds, with historical data showing 33°C on 38% of recent March 28ths and negligible rain risk amplifying heat buildup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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