Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 29, with 74-75°F (23.5%) and 76-77°F (24%) leading amid a spread favoring mid-70s outcomes over hotter scenarios like 84°F or higher (20.1%). The National Weather Service's latest guidance points to a high near 76°F under sunny skies with light southwesterly winds shifting offshore, supported by GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering around 75°F. Differentiating factors include potential strengthening of mild Santa Ana winds eroding the marine layer for spikes above 80°F versus persistent coastal cooling keeping readings in the low 70s; historical March highs at LAX average 72°F with similar ridge setups. New model runs expected this evening could sharpen the outlook as the high-pressure ridge over Southern California solidifies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 29?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 29?
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
84°F or higher 16.6%
78-79°F 12%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
11%
84°F or higher
17%
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
84°F or higher 16.6%
78-79°F 12%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
11%
84°F or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 29, with 74-75°F (23.5%) and 76-77°F (24%) leading amid a spread favoring mid-70s outcomes over hotter scenarios like 84°F or higher (20.1%). The National Weather Service's latest guidance points to a high near 76°F under sunny skies with light southwesterly winds shifting offshore, supported by GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering around 75°F. Differentiating factors include potential strengthening of mild Santa Ana winds eroding the marine layer for spikes above 80°F versus persistent coastal cooling keeping readings in the low 70s; historical March highs at LAX average 72°F with similar ridge setups. New model runs expected this evening could sharpen the outlook as the high-pressure ridge over Southern California solidifies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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