Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 22–24°C (over 60% combined implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on March 27, driven by consensus across global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which project mild highs amid persistent northeasterly winds from a lingering frontal system. Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau latest guidance aligns at 23°C peak, differentiating outcomes through subtle variations in cloud cover and afternoon insolation—22°C if overcast strengthens, 24°C under clearer skies—against March historical averages of 23.5°C. Low probabilities for extremes reflect suppressed heat advection from cooler East Asian sea surface temperatures, with final resolution hinging on real-time observations from Taipei's observatory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on March 27?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?
21°C or below 23%
22°C 22%
23°C 21%
24°C 16%
21°C or below
23%
22°C
24%
23°C
21%
24°C
16%
25°C
13%
26°C
11%
27°C
6%
28°C
10%
29°C
8%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
2%
21°C or below 23%
22°C 22%
23°C 21%
24°C 16%
21°C or below
23%
22°C
24%
23°C
21%
24°C
16%
25°C
13%
26°C
11%
27°C
6%
28°C
10%
29°C
8%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 22–24°C (over 60% combined implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on March 27, driven by consensus across global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which project mild highs amid persistent northeasterly winds from a lingering frontal system. Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau latest guidance aligns at 23°C peak, differentiating outcomes through subtle variations in cloud cover and afternoon insolation—22°C if overcast strengthens, 24°C under clearer skies—against March historical averages of 23.5°C. Low probabilities for extremes reflect suppressed heat advection from cooler East Asian sea surface temperatures, with final resolution hinging on real-time observations from Taipei's observatory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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