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Highest temperature in Dallas on April 1?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Dallas on April 1?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Apr 1

Mar 28

Mar 29

Apr 1

84°F ou plus 27%

76-77°F 17%

82-83 °F 15%

78-79°F 14%

Polymarket
NEW

84°F ou plus 27%

76-77°F 17%

82-83 °F 15%

78-79°F 14%

Polymarket
NEW

65°F or below

$145 Vol.

1%

66-67°F

$121 Vol.

3%

68-69 °F

$0 Vol.

2%

70-71 °F

$14 Vol.

4%

72-73 °F

$15 Vol.

7%

74-75°F

$416 Vol.

5%

76-77°F

$903 Vol.

17%

78-79°F

$552 Vol.

14%

80-81°F

$237 Vol.

11%

82-83 °F

$40 Vol.

10%

84°F ou plus

$408 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Dallas's highest temperature on April 1, with no outcome exceeding 25% implied probability amid divergent National Weather Service guidance near 78°F and ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models ranging 72–84°F. A recent cold front through March 27–28 cooled North Texas highs to the 50s–60s°F, but spring 2026 outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center favor above-normal temperatures—historical April 1 average at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport is 76°F—driven by a building upper-level ridge and weak La Niña transition reducing storminess. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence, southerly wind strength post-frontal recovery, and low soil moisture limiting evaporative cooling; daily 00Z/12Z model updates and NWS advisories through March 30–31 will sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Dallas's highest temperature on April 1, with no outcome exceeding 25% implied probability amid divergent National Weather Service guidance near 78°F and ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models ranging 72–84°F. A recent cold front through March 27–28 cooled North Texas highs to the 50s–60s°F, but spring 2026 outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center favor above-normal temperatures—historical April 1 average at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport is 76°F—driven by a building upper-level ridge and weak La Niña transition reducing storminess. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence, southerly wind strength post-frontal recovery, and low soil moisture limiting evaporative cooling; daily 00Z/12Z model updates and NWS advisories through March 30–31 will sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Dallas's highest temperature on April 1, with no outcome exceeding 25% implied probability amid divergent National Weather Service guidance near 78°F and ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models ranging 72–84°F. A recent cold front through March 27–28 cooled North Texas highs to the 50s–60s°F, but spring 2026 outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center favor above-normal temperatures—historical April 1 average at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport is 76°F—driven by a building upper-level ridge and weak La Niña transition reducing storminess. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence, southerly wind strength post-frontal recovery, and low soil moisture limiting evaporative cooling; daily 00Z/12Z model updates and NWS advisories through March 30–31 will sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Dallas's highest temperature on April 1, with no outcome exceeding 25% implied probability amid divergent National Weather Service guidance near 78°F and ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models ranging 72–84°F. A recent cold front through March 27–28 cooled North Texas highs to the 50s–60s°F, but spring 2026 outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center favor above-normal temperatures—historical April 1 average at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport is 76°F—driven by a building upper-level ridge and weak La Niña transition reducing storminess. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence, southerly wind strength post-frontal recovery, and low soil moisture limiting evaporative cooling; daily 00Z/12Z model updates and NWS advisories through March 30–31 will sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Dallas on April 1? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 84°F ou plus » à 27%, suivi de « 76-77°F » à 17%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 27¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Highest temperature in Dallas on April 1? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 28, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Dallas on April 1? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Dallas on April 1? » est « 84°F ou plus » à 27%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 76-77°F » à 17%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Dallas on April 1? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.