Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward mild highs of 15-17°C in Ankara on March 28, with tightly clustered probabilities reflecting model agreement on a building high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia. This setup favors southerly flows advecting warmer air masses from the Mediterranean, potentially pushing peaks near 17°C, though slight divergences arise from uncertainty in low-level cloud timing and residual cold pockets from recent northerly outflows. Historical March 28 averages hover around 14°C, but above-normal seasonal trends and minimal precipitation signals in short-range guidance differentiate the leading outcomes, tempering bets on extremes below 13°C or above 18°C. Traders eye today's 12Z model updates for resolution shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 28 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Ankara le 28 mars ?
17°C 20%
15°C 20%
16°C 19%
13°C 14%
8°C ou moins
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
8%
11°C
4%
12°C
11%
13°C
14%
14°C
14%
15°C
20%
16°C
19%
17°C
20%
18°C ou plus
12%
17°C 20%
15°C 20%
16°C 19%
13°C 14%
8°C ou moins
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
8%
11°C
4%
12°C
11%
13°C
14%
14°C
14%
15°C
20%
16°C
19%
17°C
20%
18°C ou plus
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward mild highs of 15-17°C in Ankara on March 28, with tightly clustered probabilities reflecting model agreement on a building high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia. This setup favors southerly flows advecting warmer air masses from the Mediterranean, potentially pushing peaks near 17°C, though slight divergences arise from uncertainty in low-level cloud timing and residual cold pockets from recent northerly outflows. Historical March 28 averages hover around 14°C, but above-normal seasonal trends and minimal precipitation signals in short-range guidance differentiate the leading outcomes, tempering bets on extremes below 13°C or above 18°C. Traders eye today's 12Z model updates for resolution shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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