Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on March 29 project highs in the low to mid-80s°F under a strengthening upper-level ridge over Texas, promoting subsidence warming and southerly winds advecting Gulf moisture, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF centering around 82-84°F—aligning with Polymarket's trader-implied odds favoring 82-83°F (33.5%) and 84-85°F (23.5%). High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover potential, timing of any weak frontal trough, and boundary layer mixing, which could shave 3-5°F if diurnally disrupted; historical March analogs show 10-15% chance of 85°F+ outliers during ridge setups. Key upcoming updates include 12z model runs tomorrow and morning soundings, which could refine intensification risks or cap temperatures nearer 80°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 29 mars ?
Température la plus élevée à Dallas le 29 mars ?
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 24%
80-81°F 23%
78-79°F 12%
$14,476 Vol.
$14,476 Vol.
73°F ou moins
<1%
74-75 °F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
24%
86-87 °F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F ou plus
<1%
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 24%
80-81°F 23%
78-79°F 12%
$14,476 Vol.
$14,476 Vol.
73°F ou moins
<1%
74-75 °F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
24%
86-87 °F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on March 29 project highs in the low to mid-80s°F under a strengthening upper-level ridge over Texas, promoting subsidence warming and southerly winds advecting Gulf moisture, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF centering around 82-84°F—aligning with Polymarket's trader-implied odds favoring 82-83°F (33.5%) and 84-85°F (23.5%). High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover potential, timing of any weak frontal trough, and boundary layer mixing, which could shave 3-5°F if diurnally disrupted; historical March analogs show 10-15% chance of 85°F+ outliers during ridge setups. Key upcoming updates include 12z model runs tomorrow and morning soundings, which could refine intensification risks or cap temperatures nearer 80°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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