Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (33.5%) and 19°C (29.5%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 27, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecast projecting a daytime max near 18.5°C amid a high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean suppressing extremes. Differentiating factors include model divergence—ECMWF ensembles leaning toward 19-20°C with slight adiabatic warming aloft, while GFS highlights coastal sea-breeze moderation potentially capping at 17°C—against a March climatological average of 19.2°C. Recent observations show overnight lows around 14°C, with low wind shear limiting convective boosts, though a subtle Red Sea trough could nudge toward 20°C if it deepens by midday. Uncertainty peaks in the 17-20°C cluster pending 00Z model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 27 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 27 mars ?
18°C 33%
17°C 30%
19°C 30%
20°C 29%
13°C ou moins
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
11%
17°C
21%
18°C
33%
19°C
30%
20°C
22%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C ou plus
2%
18°C 33%
17°C 30%
19°C 30%
20°C 29%
13°C ou moins
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
11%
17°C
21%
18°C
33%
19°C
30%
20°C
22%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C ou plus
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (33.5%) and 19°C (29.5%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 27, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecast projecting a daytime max near 18.5°C amid a high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean suppressing extremes. Differentiating factors include model divergence—ECMWF ensembles leaning toward 19-20°C with slight adiabatic warming aloft, while GFS highlights coastal sea-breeze moderation potentially capping at 17°C—against a March climatological average of 19.2°C. Recent observations show overnight lows around 14°C, with low wind shear limiting convective boosts, though a subtle Red Sea trough could nudge toward 20°C if it deepens by midday. Uncertainty peaks in the 17-20°C cluster pending 00Z model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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