Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 80-83°F outcomes for Miami's March 27 high, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on 81-82°F amid a weak upper-level ridge fostering warm advection. Historical March 27 highs average 79.5°F at MIA, with recent days trending 2-3°F above normal due to fading El Niño influences and Gulf Stream warmth boosting dewpoints into the 70s. Differentiating factors include diurnal sea breeze penetration—stronger onshore flow caps peaks at 78-79°F, while lighter winds allow 82-83°F—plus slim chances of lingering frontal clouds or isolated convection per GFS perturbations. Upcoming 12z model runs could sharpen odds as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Miami on March 27?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
82-83°F 30%
80-81°F 26%
78-79°F 24%
84-85°F 13%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
3%
90°F or higher
2%
82-83°F 30%
80-81°F 26%
78-79°F 24%
84-85°F 13%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
3%
90°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 80-83°F outcomes for Miami's March 27 high, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on 81-82°F amid a weak upper-level ridge fostering warm advection. Historical March 27 highs average 79.5°F at MIA, with recent days trending 2-3°F above normal due to fading El Niño influences and Gulf Stream warmth boosting dewpoints into the 70s. Differentiating factors include diurnal sea breeze penetration—stronger onshore flow caps peaks at 78-79°F, while lighter winds allow 82-83°F—plus slim chances of lingering frontal clouds or isolated convection per GFS perturbations. Upcoming 12z model runs could sharpen odds as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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