Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C at 100% implied probability for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, backed by official METAR observations recording a midday peak of 19°C around 14:00 local time. This aligns with forecast model consensus from global systems like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted mild highs under persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and a cool air mass over northern China—conditions suppressing solar heating despite early spring norms around 20°C. Mainly cloudy skies per China Meteorological Administration-linked reports prevented further warming, with sunset approaching and temperatures already declining. Realistic challenges are negligible, as daily maxima are finalized post-observation; only a rare data revision could alter resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Beijing on April 2?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 2?
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$116,241 Vol.
$116,241 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$116,241 Vol.
$116,241 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C at 100% implied probability for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, backed by official METAR observations recording a midday peak of 19°C around 14:00 local time. This aligns with forecast model consensus from global systems like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted mild highs under persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and a cool air mass over northern China—conditions suppressing solar heating despite early spring norms around 20°C. Mainly cloudy skies per China Meteorological Administration-linked reports prevented further warming, with sunset approaching and temperatures already declining. Realistic challenges are negligible, as daily maxima are finalized post-observation; only a rare data revision could alter resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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