**Near-normal mid-August conditions over the Chicago area, moderated by Lake Michigan's influence and recent post-storm stabilization, underpin the market's concentration on 80-83°F outcomes.** Official climatological normals place the expected daily high near 82.5°F, with long-range guidance and ensemble models showing limited deviation amid generally zonal flow and modest moisture. A mid-month derecho event earlier in August introduced cooler, unsettled air that has since yielded to more typical seasonal patterns without strong warm advection or blocking highs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for intensification or suppression from diurnal heating, possible afternoon convection, and lake-breeze effects that historically cap peaks in the low-to-mid 80s. With resolution tied to official observations at Chicago O'Hare or Midway the following day, the distribution reflects consensus around historical baselines rather than outlier scenarios.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chicago le 18 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chicago le 18 août ?
80-81 °F 44%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 12%
84-85 °F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
71°F ou moins
<1%
72-73 °F
1%
74-75 °F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
12%
80-81 °F
44%
82-83°F
31%
84-85 °F
8%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou plus
<1%
80-81 °F 44%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 12%
84-85 °F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
71°F ou moins
$22 Vol.
<1%
72-73 °F
$24 Vol.
1%
74-75 °F
$74 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$140 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$522 Vol.
12%
80-81 °F
$312 Vol.
44%
82-83°F
$163 Vol.
31%
84-85 °F
$110 Vol.
8%
86-87°F
$218 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$142 Vol.
<1%
90°F ou plus
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Near-normal mid-August conditions over the Chicago area, moderated by Lake Michigan's influence and recent post-storm stabilization, underpin the market's concentration on 80-83°F outcomes.** Official climatological normals place the expected daily high near 82.5°F, with long-range guidance and ensemble models showing limited deviation amid generally zonal flow and modest moisture. A mid-month derecho event earlier in August introduced cooler, unsettled air that has since yielded to more typical seasonal patterns without strong warm advection or blocking highs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for intensification or suppression from diurnal heating, possible afternoon convection, and lake-breeze effects that historically cap peaks in the low-to-mid 80s. With resolution tied to official observations at Chicago O'Hare or Midway the following day, the distribution reflects consensus around historical baselines rather than outlier scenarios.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,828Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Near-normal mid-August conditions over the Chicago area, moderated by Lake Michigan's influence and recent post-storm stabilization, underpin the market's concentration on 80-83°F outcomes.** Official climatological normals place the expected daily high near 82.5°F, with long-range guidance and ensemble models showing limited deviation amid generally zonal flow and modest moisture. A mid-month derecho event earlier in August introduced cooler, unsettled air that has since yielded to more typical seasonal patterns without strong warm advection or blocking highs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for intensification or suppression from diurnal heating, possible afternoon convection, and lake-breeze effects that historically cap peaks in the low-to-mid 80s. With resolution tied to official observations at Chicago O'Hare or Midway the following day, the distribution reflects consensus around historical baselines rather than outlier scenarios.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,828Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Near-normal mid-August conditions over the Chicago area, moderated by Lake Michigan's influence and recent post-storm stabilization, underpin the market's concentration on 80-83°F outcomes.** Official climatological normals place the expected daily high near 82.5°F, with long-range guidance and ensemble models showing limited deviation amid generally zonal flow and modest moisture. A mid-month derecho event earlier in August introduced cooler, unsettled air that has since yielded to more typical seasonal patterns without strong warm advection or blocking highs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for intensification or suppression from diurnal heating, possible afternoon convection, and lake-breeze effects that historically cap peaks in the low-to-mid 80s. With resolution tied to official observations at Chicago O'Hare or Midway the following day, the distribution reflects consensus around historical baselines rather than outlier scenarios.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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