Persistent southerly flow and high pressure across North Texas are sustaining above-average warmth, with National Weather Service and private forecast models converging on a Friday high of 97–100 °F under mostly sunny skies and light winds. These conditions support strong daytime insolation and minimal mixing, keeping surface temperatures elevated well above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 89 °F. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability, narrowing the most likely range to the upper 90s and driving the 56 % market-implied probability on 98–99 °F alongside the 32.5 % on 96–97 °F. A modest risk of slight cooling from increased boundary-layer moisture or minor cloud debris accounts for the smaller probabilities assigned to 100–101 °F and lower bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 18 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Dallas le 18 septembre ?
98-99°F 56%
96-97 °F 33%
100-101°F 8%
89°F ou moins 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
89°F ou moins
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93 °F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97 °F
33%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
8%
102-103 °F
2%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F ou plus
<1%
98-99°F 56%
96-97 °F 33%
100-101°F 8%
89°F ou moins 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
89°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$5 Vol.
1%
92-93 °F
$0 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$20 Vol.
2%
96-97 °F
$3,968 Vol.
33%
98-99°F
$3,842 Vol.
56%
100-101°F
$511 Vol.
8%
102-103 °F
$0 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$5 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$142 Vol.
1%
108°F ou plus
$116 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and high pressure across North Texas are sustaining above-average warmth, with National Weather Service and private forecast models converging on a Friday high of 97–100 °F under mostly sunny skies and light winds. These conditions support strong daytime insolation and minimal mixing, keeping surface temperatures elevated well above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 89 °F. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability, narrowing the most likely range to the upper 90s and driving the 56 % market-implied probability on 98–99 °F alongside the 32.5 % on 96–97 °F. A modest risk of slight cooling from increased boundary-layer moisture or minor cloud debris accounts for the smaller probabilities assigned to 100–101 °F and lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,605Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and high pressure across North Texas are sustaining above-average warmth, with National Weather Service and private forecast models converging on a Friday high of 97–100 °F under mostly sunny skies and light winds. These conditions support strong daytime insolation and minimal mixing, keeping surface temperatures elevated well above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 89 °F. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability, narrowing the most likely range to the upper 90s and driving the 56 % market-implied probability on 98–99 °F alongside the 32.5 % on 96–97 °F. A modest risk of slight cooling from increased boundary-layer moisture or minor cloud debris accounts for the smaller probabilities assigned to 100–101 °F and lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,605Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly flow and high pressure across North Texas are sustaining above-average warmth, with National Weather Service and private forecast models converging on a Friday high of 97–100 °F under mostly sunny skies and light winds. These conditions support strong daytime insolation and minimal mixing, keeping surface temperatures elevated well above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 89 °F. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability, narrowing the most likely range to the upper 90s and driving the 56 % market-implied probability on 98–99 °F alongside the 32.5 % on 96–97 °F. A modest risk of slight cooling from increased boundary-layer moisture or minor cloud debris accounts for the smaller probabilities assigned to 100–101 °F and lower bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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