Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on April 4 near 21°C at Malpensa Airport, under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, strong insolation, and light ESE winds around 9 km/h. This setup, warmer than the early-April climatological average of 16–18°C, drives trader consensus splitting closely between 21°C and 22°C, with 23°C+ viable in divergent model runs showing enhanced subsidence and minimal boundary layer mixing for greater surface heating. Italian services like 3B Meteo align at 22°C maximum with calm conditions, but inherent short-range uncertainty in cloud timing and wind shear keeps probabilities tight; watch overnight 00Z updates and morning observations for shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on April 4?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 4?
22°C 34%
21°C 33%
23°C or higher 27%
20°C 9%
$16,164 Vol.
$16,164 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
33%
22°C
34%
23°C or higher
27%
22°C 34%
21°C 33%
23°C or higher 27%
20°C 9%
$16,164 Vol.
$16,164 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
33%
22°C
34%
23°C or higher
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on April 4 near 21°C at Malpensa Airport, under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, strong insolation, and light ESE winds around 9 km/h. This setup, warmer than the early-April climatological average of 16–18°C, drives trader consensus splitting closely between 21°C and 22°C, with 23°C+ viable in divergent model runs showing enhanced subsidence and minimal boundary layer mixing for greater surface heating. Italian services like 3B Meteo align at 22°C maximum with calm conditions, but inherent short-range uncertainty in cloud timing and wind shear keeps probabilities tight; watch overnight 00Z updates and morning observations for shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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