Market icon

La température la plus élevée à Paris le 8 avril ?

Market icon

La température la plus élevée à Paris le 8 avril ?

avr. 4

avr. 5

avr. 6

avr. 7

avr. 4

avr. 5

avr. 6

avr. 7

23°C 27%

24°C 24%

22°C 17%

25°C 12%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

23°C 27%

24°C 24%

22°C 17%

25°C 12%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

18°C ou moins

$132 Vol.

2%

19°C

$10 Vol.

5%

20°C

$16 Vol.

5%

21°C

$22 Vol.

10%

22°C

$10 Vol.

17%

23°C

$39 Vol.

27%

24°C

$33 Vol.

24%

25°C

$37 Vol.

12%

26°C

$1 Vol.

7%

27°C

$0 Vol.

4%

28°C ou plus

$29 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which show a high-pressure ridge strengthening over Western Europe to deliver southerly airflow and above-average highs near Paris on April 8, clustering implied probabilities around 22–24°C. AccuWeather's latest run projects 21°C amid this warming trend from recent milder conditions (Paris max 18°C on April 4 per Météo-France), but model spread—driven by variables like cloud cover, exact ridge position, and urban heat effects at the official Paris-Montsouris station—differentiates closely matched outcomes. Early April climatology averages 15°C highs, making 20–25°C feasible yet sensitive to daily updates; new forecast cycles from Météo-France and ECMWF runs every 12 hours will refine this skin-in-the-game assessment.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$329
Date de fin
8 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which show a high-pressure ridge strengthening over Western Europe to deliver southerly airflow and above-average highs near Paris on April 8, clustering implied probabilities around 22–24°C. AccuWeather's latest run projects 21°C amid this warming trend from recent milder conditions (Paris max 18°C on April 4 per Météo-France), but model spread—driven by variables like cloud cover, exact ridge position, and urban heat effects at the official Paris-Montsouris station—differentiates closely matched outcomes. Early April climatology averages 15°C highs, making 20–25°C feasible yet sensitive to daily updates; new forecast cycles from Météo-France and ECMWF runs every 12 hours will refine this skin-in-the-game assessment.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$329
Date de fin
8 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus élevée à Paris le 8 avril ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 23°C » à 27%, suivi de « 24°C » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 27¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« La température la plus élevée à Paris le 8 avril ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 4, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus élevée à Paris le 8 avril ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus élevée à Paris le 8 avril ? » est « 23°C » à 27%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 24°C » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus élevée à Paris le 8 avril ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.