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Highest temperature in Paris on April 7?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Paris on April 7?

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18°C or below 26%

21°C 21%

20°C 18%

22°C 15%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

18°C or below 26%

21°C 21%

20°C 18%

22°C 15%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

18°C or below

$0 Vol.

26%

19°C

$0 Vol.

8%

20°C

$0 Vol.

18%

21°C

$0 Vol.

21%

22°C

$47 Vol.

18%

23°C

$0 Vol.

9%

24°C

$0 Vol.

9%

25°C

$0 Vol.

8%

26°C

$0 Vol.

14%

27°C

$0 Vol.

12%

28°C or higher

$0 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance for the April 6-12 week forecasts a sunny, very warm start for the season in Paris, driving trader sentiment toward highs of 20-24°C at around 17-18% each, while elevating 28°C or higher to 25.5% on potential high-pressure ridging and southerly flow. Counterbalancing this, 25% market-implied odds for 18°C or below reflect ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS models, where a lingering post-March cold snap could introduce northerly winds or clouds capping peaks. Historical April highs average 16°C (Saffir-Simpson not applicable), with spring volatility amplified by neutral ENSO conditions; daily 00Z model updates and Arome high-resolution runs will clarify boundary layer mixing and peak temperature thresholds by resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
7 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance for the April 6-12 week forecasts a sunny, very warm start for the season in Paris, driving trader sentiment toward highs of 20-24°C at around 17-18% each, while elevating 28°C or higher to 25.5% on potential high-pressure ridging and southerly flow. Counterbalancing this, 25% market-implied odds for 18°C or below reflect ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS models, where a lingering post-March cold snap could introduce northerly winds or clouds capping peaks. Historical April highs average 16°C (Saffir-Simpson not applicable), with spring volatility amplified by neutral ENSO conditions; daily 00Z model updates and Arome high-resolution runs will clarify boundary layer mixing and peak temperature thresholds by resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
7 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Paris on April 7? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 18°C or below » à 26%, suivi de « 21°C » à 21%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 26¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Highest temperature in Paris on April 7? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 3, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Paris on April 7? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Paris on April 7? » est « 18°C or below » à 26%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 21°C » à 21%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Paris on April 7? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.