Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 7, with implied probabilities split evenly at 50% for 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher, and mid-range outcomes like 25–30°C hovering at 45–48.5%. Recent China Meteorological Administration bulletins show persistent overcast skies and light showers through April 2–3, capping highs at 20–22°C amid cool northerly flows and high cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Differentiating factors include potential high-pressure ridge buildup for subsidence warming versus incoming fronts maintaining stratus; historical early-April averages hover near 21°C, but current model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS analogs suggest 24–25°C peaks if skies clear. Key updates from CMA daily advisories expected by April 5 could sharpen the outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 7?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 7?
21°C or below 26%
26°C 21%
23°C 18%
22°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 avr. 2026
21°C or below
26%
22°C
17%
23°C
18%
24°C
16%
25°C
14%
26°C
21%
27°C
16%
28°C
15%
29°C
13%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
7%
21°C or below 26%
26°C 21%
23°C 18%
22°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 avr. 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
17%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C
$29 Vol.
16%
25°C
$52 Vol.
14%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$0 Vol.
16%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$0 Vol.
13%
30°C
$18 Vol.
4%
31°C or higher
$218 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 7, with implied probabilities split evenly at 50% for 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher, and mid-range outcomes like 25–30°C hovering at 45–48.5%. Recent China Meteorological Administration bulletins show persistent overcast skies and light showers through April 2–3, capping highs at 20–22°C amid cool northerly flows and high cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Differentiating factors include potential high-pressure ridge buildup for subsidence warming versus incoming fronts maintaining stratus; historical early-April averages hover near 21°C, but current model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS analogs suggest 24–25°C peaks if skies clear. Key updates from CMA daily advisories expected by April 5 could sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Volume
$317Date de fin
7 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 7, with implied probabilities split evenly at 50% for 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher, and mid-range outcomes like 25–30°C hovering at 45–48.5%. Recent China Meteorological Administration bulletins show persistent overcast skies and light showers through April 2–3, capping highs at 20–22°C amid cool northerly flows and high cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Differentiating factors include potential high-pressure ridge buildup for subsidence warming versus incoming fronts maintaining stratus; historical early-April averages hover near 21°C, but current model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS analogs suggest 24–25°C peaks if skies clear. Key updates from CMA daily advisories expected by April 5 could sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$317Date de fin
7 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 7, with implied probabilities split evenly at 50% for 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher, and mid-range outcomes like 25–30°C hovering at 45–48.5%. Recent China Meteorological Administration bulletins show persistent overcast skies and light showers through April 2–3, capping highs at 20–22°C amid cool northerly flows and high cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Differentiating factors include potential high-pressure ridge buildup for subsidence warming versus incoming fronts maintaining stratus; historical early-April averages hover near 21°C, but current model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS analogs suggest 24–25°C peaks if skies clear. Key updates from CMA daily advisories expected by April 5 could sharpen the outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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