Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models place Seattle's high temperature on April 6 around 68-71°F, aligning with trader consensus where 68-69°F and 70-71°F outcomes lead closely at 24.5% and 22.0% implied probabilities. This positioning reflects a recent shift from early April showers and cool marine air to warmer conditions as low-pressure systems exit the Pacific Northwest, enabling a building upper-level ridge to enhance solar heating and limit cloud cover. Above-normal warmth—versus historical April averages near 58°F—is supported by NOAA's monthly outlook for the region, though lingering boundary-layer moisture could cap peaks via coastal stratus. Key differentiators include model spread of 1-2°F and potential afternoon clearing; watch NWS Seattle updates and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Seattle le 6 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Seattle le 6 avril ?
68-69°F 26%
21-22°C 22%
66-67 °F 14%
72-73°F 14%
59 °F ou moins
2%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
12%
66-67 °F
14%
68-69°F
26%
21-22°C
22%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
1%
78°F ou plus
1%
68-69°F 26%
21-22°C 22%
66-67 °F 14%
72-73°F 14%
59 °F ou moins
2%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
12%
66-67 °F
14%
68-69°F
26%
21-22°C
22%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
1%
78°F ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models place Seattle's high temperature on April 6 around 68-71°F, aligning with trader consensus where 68-69°F and 70-71°F outcomes lead closely at 24.5% and 22.0% implied probabilities. This positioning reflects a recent shift from early April showers and cool marine air to warmer conditions as low-pressure systems exit the Pacific Northwest, enabling a building upper-level ridge to enhance solar heating and limit cloud cover. Above-normal warmth—versus historical April averages near 58°F—is supported by NOAA's monthly outlook for the region, though lingering boundary-layer moisture could cap peaks via coastal stratus. Key differentiators include model spread of 1-2°F and potential afternoon clearing; watch NWS Seattle updates and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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