The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 17, projects Tokyo's highest temperature on April 19 at 26°C under sunny conditions with occasional clouds and just a 10% chance of precipitation, following highs of 21°C today and 23°C tomorrow amid a warming high-pressure ridge. However, closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C (29.5%) and 23°C (28.5%) reflect trader skepticism, factoring in typical short-range forecast uncertainty from variables like increased cloud cover limiting solar insolation, southerly sea breezes capping peaks, and historical mid-April averages near 20°C at the official Tokyo station. Ensemble models show divergence, with some runs 2-3°C cooler; watch JMA's April 18 update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 19?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 19?
24°C 29%
23°C 29%
22°C 9%
26°C or higher 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
9%
23°C
29%
24°C
29%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
9%
24°C 29%
23°C 29%
22°C 9%
26°C or higher 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
16°C or below
$361 Vol.
1%
17°C
$222 Vol.
1%
18°C
$897 Vol.
1%
19°C
$227 Vol.
1%
20°C
$136 Vol.
2%
21°C
$149 Vol.
5%
22°C
$408 Vol.
9%
23°C
$107 Vol.
29%
24°C
$314 Vol.
29%
25°C
$147 Vol.
8%
26°C or higher
$301 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 17, projects Tokyo's highest temperature on April 19 at 26°C under sunny conditions with occasional clouds and just a 10% chance of precipitation, following highs of 21°C today and 23°C tomorrow amid a warming high-pressure ridge. However, closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C (29.5%) and 23°C (28.5%) reflect trader skepticism, factoring in typical short-range forecast uncertainty from variables like increased cloud cover limiting solar insolation, southerly sea breezes capping peaks, and historical mid-April averages near 20°C at the official Tokyo station. Ensemble models show divergence, with some runs 2-3°C cooler; watch JMA's April 18 update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$3,227Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 17, projects Tokyo's highest temperature on April 19 at 26°C under sunny conditions with occasional clouds and just a 10% chance of precipitation, following highs of 21°C today and 23°C tomorrow amid a warming high-pressure ridge. However, closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C (29.5%) and 23°C (28.5%) reflect trader skepticism, factoring in typical short-range forecast uncertainty from variables like increased cloud cover limiting solar insolation, southerly sea breezes capping peaks, and historical mid-April averages near 20°C at the official Tokyo station. Ensemble models show divergence, with some runs 2-3°C cooler; watch JMA's April 18 update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,227Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 17, projects Tokyo's highest temperature on April 19 at 26°C under sunny conditions with occasional clouds and just a 10% chance of precipitation, following highs of 21°C today and 23°C tomorrow amid a warming high-pressure ridge. However, closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C (29.5%) and 23°C (28.5%) reflect trader skepticism, factoring in typical short-range forecast uncertainty from variables like increased cloud cover limiting solar insolation, southerly sea breezes capping peaks, and historical mid-April averages near 20°C at the official Tokyo station. Ensemble models show divergence, with some runs 2-3°C cooler; watch JMA's April 18 update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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