Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 28–31°C for Wuhan Tianhe International Airport's highest temperature on April 19, with 29°C leading at 30% implied probability, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs projecting peak daytime highs in this range amid a sharp warming trend. After mid-April's cooler 20–22°C readings—aligned with climatological norms of ~23°C—a building subtropical ridge has enhanced subsidence, sunnier skies, and solar heating, boosting forecasts above seasonal averages. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover and potential showers, which could cap peaks at 28°C or allow 30–31°C under clearer conditions; new China Meteorological Administration updates and daily model refreshes expected before resolution will likely refine these odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 19?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 19?
29°C 29%
30°C 25%
28°C 20%
31°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
20%
29°C
29%
30°C
25%
31°C
19%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 29%
30°C 25%
28°C 20%
31°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
25°C or below
$480 Vol.
1%
26°C
$358 Vol.
3%
27°C
$159 Vol.
10%
28°C
$139 Vol.
20%
29°C
$89 Vol.
29%
30°C
$125 Vol.
25%
31°C
$213 Vol.
19%
32°C
$110 Vol.
7%
33°C
$187 Vol.
3%
34°C
$308 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$277 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 28–31°C for Wuhan Tianhe International Airport's highest temperature on April 19, with 29°C leading at 30% implied probability, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs projecting peak daytime highs in this range amid a sharp warming trend. After mid-April's cooler 20–22°C readings—aligned with climatological norms of ~23°C—a building subtropical ridge has enhanced subsidence, sunnier skies, and solar heating, boosting forecasts above seasonal averages. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover and potential showers, which could cap peaks at 28°C or allow 30–31°C under clearer conditions; new China Meteorological Administration updates and daily model refreshes expected before resolution will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$2,445Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 28–31°C for Wuhan Tianhe International Airport's highest temperature on April 19, with 29°C leading at 30% implied probability, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs projecting peak daytime highs in this range amid a sharp warming trend. After mid-April's cooler 20–22°C readings—aligned with climatological norms of ~23°C—a building subtropical ridge has enhanced subsidence, sunnier skies, and solar heating, boosting forecasts above seasonal averages. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover and potential showers, which could cap peaks at 28°C or allow 30–31°C under clearer conditions; new China Meteorological Administration updates and daily model refreshes expected before resolution will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,445Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 28–31°C for Wuhan Tianhe International Airport's highest temperature on April 19, with 29°C leading at 30% implied probability, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs projecting peak daytime highs in this range amid a sharp warming trend. After mid-April's cooler 20–22°C readings—aligned with climatological norms of ~23°C—a building subtropical ridge has enhanced subsidence, sunnier skies, and solar heating, boosting forecasts above seasonal averages. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover and potential showers, which could cap peaks at 28°C or allow 30–31°C under clearer conditions; new China Meteorological Administration updates and daily model refreshes expected before resolution will likely refine these odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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