Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's minimum temperature on September 23 will likely fall between 17°C and 20°C under cloudy skies with intermittent light rain, driven by a moist air mass and reduced diurnal heating in the Sichuan basin. This setup creates genuine uncertainty around the precise low, as variations in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, and boundary-layer mixing could shift the outcome several degrees either way. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with equal weighting on sub-15°C or 25°C-plus scenarios alongside 20% odds for each integer from 16°C to 24°C, underscoring how small forecast adjustments near the event could rapidly alter implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chengdu le 23 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Chengdu le 23 septembre ?
15°C ou moins 100%
25°C ou plus 97%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
100%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
23%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C ou plus
97%
15°C ou moins 100%
25°C ou plus 97%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
100%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
39%
19°C
$0 Vol.
40%
20°C
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
23%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's minimum temperature on September 23 will likely fall between 17°C and 20°C under cloudy skies with intermittent light rain, driven by a moist air mass and reduced diurnal heating in the Sichuan basin. This setup creates genuine uncertainty around the precise low, as variations in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, and boundary-layer mixing could shift the outcome several degrees either way. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with equal weighting on sub-15°C or 25°C-plus scenarios alongside 20% odds for each integer from 16°C to 24°C, underscoring how small forecast adjustments near the event could rapidly alter implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's minimum temperature on September 23 will likely fall between 17°C and 20°C under cloudy skies with intermittent light rain, driven by a moist air mass and reduced diurnal heating in the Sichuan basin. This setup creates genuine uncertainty around the precise low, as variations in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, and boundary-layer mixing could shift the outcome several degrees either way. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with equal weighting on sub-15°C or 25°C-plus scenarios alongside 20% odds for each integer from 16°C to 24°C, underscoring how small forecast adjustments near the event could rapidly alter implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's minimum temperature on September 23 will likely fall between 17°C and 20°C under cloudy skies with intermittent light rain, driven by a moist air mass and reduced diurnal heating in the Sichuan basin. This setup creates genuine uncertainty around the precise low, as variations in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, and boundary-layer mixing could shift the outcome several degrees either way. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with equal weighting on sub-15°C or 25°C-plus scenarios alongside 20% odds for each integer from 16°C to 24°C, underscoring how small forecast adjustments near the event could rapidly alter implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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