Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear, high-pressure regime over Madrid through September 19, with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports overnight lows clustering around 15°C, consistent with mid-September climatology of roughly 15°C average minima, though ensemble spreads show potential for 13–16°C depending on exact wind speeds and urban heat-island effects. Traders appear to price the tightest probabilities on 13–15°C outcomes because model runs differ modestly on the timing and intensity of the minimum, while stable synoptic conditions reduce the chance of significant deviations. Updated high-resolution guidance and official AEMET observations on the 19th will refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Madrid le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Madrid le 19 septembre ?
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
13°C 39%
16°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
17%
13°C
39%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
19%
17°C
11%
18°C
7%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C ou plus
2%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
13°C 39%
16°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
17%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
19%
17°C
$0 Vol.
11%
18°C
$0 Vol.
7%
19°C
$0 Vol.
5%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear, high-pressure regime over Madrid through September 19, with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports overnight lows clustering around 15°C, consistent with mid-September climatology of roughly 15°C average minima, though ensemble spreads show potential for 13–16°C depending on exact wind speeds and urban heat-island effects. Traders appear to price the tightest probabilities on 13–15°C outcomes because model runs differ modestly on the timing and intensity of the minimum, while stable synoptic conditions reduce the chance of significant deviations. Updated high-resolution guidance and official AEMET observations on the 19th will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear, high-pressure regime over Madrid through September 19, with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports overnight lows clustering around 15°C, consistent with mid-September climatology of roughly 15°C average minima, though ensemble spreads show potential for 13–16°C depending on exact wind speeds and urban heat-island effects. Traders appear to price the tightest probabilities on 13–15°C outcomes because model runs differ modestly on the timing and intensity of the minimum, while stable synoptic conditions reduce the chance of significant deviations. Updated high-resolution guidance and official AEMET observations on the 19th will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear, high-pressure regime over Madrid through September 19, with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports overnight lows clustering around 15°C, consistent with mid-September climatology of roughly 15°C average minima, though ensemble spreads show potential for 13–16°C depending on exact wind speeds and urban heat-island effects. Traders appear to price the tightest probabilities on 13–15°C outcomes because model runs differ modestly on the timing and intensity of the minimum, while stable synoptic conditions reduce the chance of significant deviations. Updated high-resolution guidance and official AEMET observations on the 19th will refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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