Recent forecast models from European weather services indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 17 likely ranging from 10–12°C, driven by a shift to westerly flow bringing cooler, moist Atlantic air and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Historical climatology shows an average low of 9.9°C for the date, with recent years recording 8.5–10.2°C, supporting trader focus on the 8°C-or-below and 9–11°C bins that together hold over 90% implied probability. Model consensus remains moderate due to uncertainty in exact cloud cover and timing of any clearing, with updated runs expected in the next 24–48 hours before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Munich le 17 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Munich le 17 septembre ?
8°C ou moins 100%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
9°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
100%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
19%
13°C
11%
14°C
7%
15°C
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C ou plus
5%
8°C ou moins 100%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
9°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
100%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
11%
14°C
$0 Vol.
7%
15°C
$0 Vol.
5%
16°C
$0 Vol.
5%
17°C
$0 Vol.
5%
18°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from European weather services indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 17 likely ranging from 10–12°C, driven by a shift to westerly flow bringing cooler, moist Atlantic air and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Historical climatology shows an average low of 9.9°C for the date, with recent years recording 8.5–10.2°C, supporting trader focus on the 8°C-or-below and 9–11°C bins that together hold over 90% implied probability. Model consensus remains moderate due to uncertainty in exact cloud cover and timing of any clearing, with updated runs expected in the next 24–48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from European weather services indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 17 likely ranging from 10–12°C, driven by a shift to westerly flow bringing cooler, moist Atlantic air and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Historical climatology shows an average low of 9.9°C for the date, with recent years recording 8.5–10.2°C, supporting trader focus on the 8°C-or-below and 9–11°C bins that together hold over 90% implied probability. Model consensus remains moderate due to uncertainty in exact cloud cover and timing of any clearing, with updated runs expected in the next 24–48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from European weather services indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 17 likely ranging from 10–12°C, driven by a shift to westerly flow bringing cooler, moist Atlantic air and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Historical climatology shows an average low of 9.9°C for the date, with recent years recording 8.5–10.2°C, supporting trader focus on the 8°C-or-below and 9–11°C bins that together hold over 90% implied probability. Model consensus remains moderate due to uncertainty in exact cloud cover and timing of any clearing, with updated runs expected in the next 24–48 hours before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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