Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a minimum temperature of 68–69°F on September 8, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This reading aligns with regional surface analyses showing a moderating maritime air mass and light winds that prevented stronger nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows well above the 1991–2020 average of 64°F. With the date now past and preliminary climatological data released, traders assign negligible probability to alternative bins because any material revision would require an unusual post-processing correction by NOAA. The only realistic challenges remain an official data amendment or a market-resolution rule specifying a different station or time window, both of which historical precedent shows are rare for this type of temperature market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 8 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 8 septembre ?
68-69 °F 100.0%
55°F ou moins <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$9,726 Vol.
$9,726 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
55°F ou moins
Non
56-57°F
Non
58-59°F
Non
60-61 °F
Non
62-63°F
Non
64-65°F
Non
66-67°F
Non
68-69 °F
Oui
70-71°F
Non
72-73 °F
Non
74°F ou plus
Non
68-69 °F 100.0%
55°F ou moins <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$9,726 Vol.
$9,726 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
55°F ou moins
$593 Vol.
Non
56-57°F
$171 Vol.
Non
58-59°F
$236 Vol.
Non
60-61 °F
$234 Vol.
Non
62-63°F
$888 Vol.
Non
64-65°F
$1,200 Vol.
Non
66-67°F
$1,670 Vol.
Non
68-69 °F
$3,508 Vol.
Oui
70-71°F
$260 Vol.
Non
72-73 °F
$604 Vol.
Non
74°F ou plus
$363 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a minimum temperature of 68–69°F on September 8, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This reading aligns with regional surface analyses showing a moderating maritime air mass and light winds that prevented stronger nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows well above the 1991–2020 average of 64°F. With the date now past and preliminary climatological data released, traders assign negligible probability to alternative bins because any material revision would require an unusual post-processing correction by NOAA. The only realistic challenges remain an official data amendment or a market-resolution rule specifying a different station or time window, both of which historical precedent shows are rare for this type of temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$9,726Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a minimum temperature of 68–69°F on September 8, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This reading aligns with regional surface analyses showing a moderating maritime air mass and light winds that prevented stronger nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows well above the 1991–2020 average of 64°F. With the date now past and preliminary climatological data released, traders assign negligible probability to alternative bins because any material revision would require an unusual post-processing correction by NOAA. The only realistic challenges remain an official data amendment or a market-resolution rule specifying a different station or time window, both of which historical precedent shows are rare for this type of temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,726Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a minimum temperature of 68–69°F on September 8, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This reading aligns with regional surface analyses showing a moderating maritime air mass and light winds that prevented stronger nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows well above the 1991–2020 average of 64°F. With the date now past and preliminary climatological data released, traders assign negligible probability to alternative bins because any material revision would require an unusual post-processing correction by NOAA. The only realistic challenges remain an official data amendment or a market-resolution rule specifying a different station or time window, both of which historical precedent shows are rare for this type of temperature market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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