Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, elected in January 2025 after a prolonged parliamentary deadlock, maintains a stable hold on office amid ongoing diplomatic efforts to de-escalate border tensions with Israel. Recent developments, including his calls for direct negotiations mediated by U.S. envoys and hopes for a ceasefire to prevent southern destruction, underscore his active leadership backed by Western and Arab powers. Despite Hezbollah's resistance to disarmament agreements and criticisms of army deployments, no major domestic crises—such as no-confidence votes, scandals, or parliamentary challenges—threaten his position before year's end. Traders' 80.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this entrenched status, with his six-year term extending well into 2031 barring unforeseen disruptions like health events or escalation in Israel-Hezbollah hostilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाJoseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, elected in January 2025 after a prolonged parliamentary deadlock, maintains a stable hold on office amid ongoing diplomatic efforts to de-escalate border tensions with Israel. Recent developments, including his calls for direct negotiations mediated by U.S. envoys and hopes for a ceasefire to prevent southern destruction, underscore his active leadership backed by Western and Arab powers. Despite Hezbollah's resistance to disarmament agreements and criticisms of army deployments, no major domestic crises—such as no-confidence votes, scandals, or parliamentary challenges—threaten his position before year's end. Traders' 80.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this entrenched status, with his six-year term extending well into 2031 barring unforeseen disruptions like health events or escalation in Israel-Hezbollah hostilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,903समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, elected in January 2025 after a prolonged parliamentary deadlock, maintains a stable hold on office amid ongoing diplomatic efforts to de-escalate border tensions with Israel. Recent developments, including his calls for direct negotiations mediated by U.S. envoys and hopes for a ceasefire to prevent southern destruction, underscore his active leadership backed by Western and Arab powers. Despite Hezbollah's resistance to disarmament agreements and criticisms of army deployments, no major domestic crises—such as no-confidence votes, scandals, or parliamentary challenges—threaten his position before year's end. Traders' 80.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this entrenched status, with his six-year term extending well into 2031 barring unforeseen disruptions like health events or escalation in Israel-Hezbollah hostilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$6,903समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, elected in January 2025 after a prolonged parliamentary deadlock, maintains a stable hold on office amid ongoing diplomatic efforts to de-escalate border tensions with Israel. Recent developments, including his calls for direct negotiations mediated by U.S. envoys and hopes for a ceasefire to prevent southern destruction, underscore his active leadership backed by Western and Arab powers. Despite Hezbollah's resistance to disarmament agreements and criticisms of army deployments, no major domestic crises—such as no-confidence votes, scandals, or parliamentary challenges—threaten his position before year's end. Traders' 80.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this entrenched status, with his six-year term extending well into 2031 barring unforeseen disruptions like health events or escalation in Israel-Hezbollah hostilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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