Trader consensus favors no named storm forming before the June 1 start of the Atlantic hurricane season, with a 62.5% market-implied probability for "No," driven by the National Hurricane Center's latest outlook showing zero tropical cyclone formation potential across the basin and no active disturbances as of mid-April 2026. Routine Tropical Weather Outlooks remain paused until May 15, underscoring currently quiet conditions amid elevated vertical wind shear and insufficiently warm sea surface temperatures in the main development region. Colorado State University's April forecast, released last week, anticipates a below-normal season overall due to a weak La Niña transitioning to El Niño by early summer, which historically suppresses early-season activity—pre-June 1 named storms occur in only about 10-15% of years. Traders await any special NHC advisories for shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयातूफ़ान के मौसम से पहले तूफ़ान के रूपों को नाम दिया गया है?
तूफ़ान के मौसम से पहले तूफ़ान के रूपों को नाम दिया गया है?
हाँ
$332,035 वॉल्यूम
$332,035 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
हाँ
$332,035 वॉल्यूम
$332,035 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Trader consensus favors no named storm forming before the June 1 start of the Atlantic hurricane season, with a 62.5% market-implied probability for "No," driven by the National Hurricane Center's latest outlook showing zero tropical cyclone formation potential across the basin and no active disturbances as of mid-April 2026. Routine Tropical Weather Outlooks remain paused until May 15, underscoring currently quiet conditions amid elevated vertical wind shear and insufficiently warm sea surface temperatures in the main development region. Colorado State University's April forecast, released last week, anticipates a below-normal season overall due to a weak La Niña transitioning to El Niño by early summer, which historically suppresses early-season activity—pre-June 1 named storms occur in only about 10-15% of years. Traders await any special NHC advisories for shifts.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$332,035समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Trader consensus favors no named storm forming before the June 1 start of the Atlantic hurricane season, with a 62.5% market-implied probability for "No," driven by the National Hurricane Center's latest outlook showing zero tropical cyclone formation potential across the basin and no active disturbances as of mid-April 2026. Routine Tropical Weather Outlooks remain paused until May 15, underscoring currently quiet conditions amid elevated vertical wind shear and insufficiently warm sea surface temperatures in the main development region. Colorado State University's April forecast, released last week, anticipates a below-normal season overall due to a weak La Niña transitioning to El Niño by early summer, which historically suppresses early-season activity—pre-June 1 named storms occur in only about 10-15% of years. Traders await any special NHC advisories for shifts.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
वॉल्यूम
$332,035समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors no named storm forming before the June 1 start of the Atlantic hurricane season, with a 62.5% market-implied probability for "No," driven by the National Hurricane Center's latest outlook showing zero tropical cyclone formation potential across the basin and no active disturbances as of mid-April 2026. Routine Tropical Weather Outlooks remain paused until May 15, underscoring currently quiet conditions amid elevated vertical wind shear and insufficiently warm sea surface temperatures in the main development region. Colorado State University's April forecast, released last week, anticipates a below-normal season overall due to a weak La Niña transitioning to El Niño by early summer, which historically suppresses early-season activity—pre-June 1 named storms occur in only about 10-15% of years. Traders await any special NHC advisories for shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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