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31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक विक्टर ऑर्बान बाहर हो जाएँगे?

Market icon

31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक विक्टर ऑर्बान बाहर हो जाएँगे?

हाँ

99% संभावना
Polymarket

$150,361 वॉल्यूम

हाँ

99% संभावना
Polymarket

$150,361 वॉल्यूम

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hungarian parliamentary elections on April 12 delivered a crushing defeat to Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party, which lost its long-held supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly to Péter Magyar's Tisza party amid record turnout exceeding 77%. Orbán promptly conceded, signaling the end of his 16-year tenure as Prime Minister once the new parliament convenes and selects a successor, likely by summer. Trader consensus reflects this near-certain transition, pricing Yes at 98.5% as structural handover procedures unfold predictably under Hungary's constitutional framework. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary events like successful legal challenges to results or a no-confidence reversal, both improbable given the landslide margin and lack of disputes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$150,361
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hungarian parliamentary elections on April 12 delivered a crushing defeat to Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party, which lost its long-held supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly to Péter Magyar's Tisza party amid record turnout exceeding 77%. Orbán promptly conceded, signaling the end of his 16-year tenure as Prime Minister once the new parliament convenes and selects a successor, likely by summer. Trader consensus reflects this near-certain transition, pricing Yes at 98.5% as structural handover procedures unfold predictably under Hungary's constitutional framework. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary events like successful legal challenges to results or a no-confidence reversal, both improbable given the landslide margin and lack of disputes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$150,361
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक विक्टर ऑर्बान बाहर हो जाएँगे?" Polymarket पर 2 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, क्या विक्टर ऑर्बन 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे? 99% (99¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है।

आज तक, "31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक विक्टर ऑर्बान बाहर हो जाएँगे?" ने कुल $150.4K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Jan 5, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक विक्टर ऑर्बान बाहर हो जाएँगे?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 2 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक विक्टर ऑर्बान बाहर हो जाएँगे?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "क्या विक्टर ऑर्बन 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?" 99% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक विक्टर ऑर्बान बाहर हो जाएँगे?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।