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icon for Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

icon for Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

>99% संभावना
Polymarket

$239,927 वॉल्यूम

>99% संभावना
Polymarket

$239,927 वॉल्यूम

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, ousting Viktor Orbán's Fidesz after 16 years in power, with Orbán conceding defeat that night and relinquishing his parliamentary seat on April 25. Magyar was sworn in as prime minister today, May 9, formalizing the transition and confirming Orbán's exit from the premiership well before the December 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 100% Yes reflects this irreversible shift, driven by voter backlash against Fidesz amid economic woes and EU tensions. While Tisza's two-thirds National Assembly majority ensures stability, remote scenarios like successful constitutional challenges or snap no-confidence votes could theoretically alter the outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$239,927
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

परिणाम प्रस्तावित: Yes

कोई विवाद नहीं

अंतिम परिणाम: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, ousting Viktor Orbán's Fidesz after 16 years in power, with Orbán conceding defeat that night and relinquishing his parliamentary seat on April 25. Magyar was sworn in as prime minister today, May 9, formalizing the transition and confirming Orbán's exit from the premiership well before the December 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 100% Yes reflects this irreversible shift, driven by voter backlash against Fidesz amid economic woes and EU tensions. While Tisza's two-thirds National Assembly majority ensures stability, remote scenarios like successful constitutional challenges or snap no-confidence votes could theoretically alter the outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$239,927
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

परिणाम प्रस्तावित: Yes

कोई विवाद नहीं

अंतिम परिणाम: Yes

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?" Polymarket पर एक पूर्वानुमान बाज़ार है जहाँ ट्रेडर इस बात के आधार पर "हाँ" या "नहीं" शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं कि क्या उन्हें लगता है यह घटना होगी। वर्तमान भीड़-संचालित संभावना "Yes" के लिए 100% है। उदाहरण के लिए, अगर "हाँ" की कीमत 100¢ है, तो बाज़ार सामूहिक रूप से इस घटना के होने की 100% संभावना मानता है। ये संभावनाएँ लगातार बदलती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर नए विकास और जानकारी पर प्रतिक्रिया करते हैं। सही परिणाम में शेयर बाज़ार समाधान पर प्रत्येक $1 में भुनाए जा सकते हैं।

आज तक, "Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?" ने कुल $239.9K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Jan 5, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, बस चुनें कि आपको लगता है उत्तर "हाँ" है या "नहीं"। प्रत्येक पक्ष की एक वर्तमान कीमत है जो बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाती है। अपनी राशि दर्ज करें और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें। अगर आप "हाँ" शेयर खरीदते हैं और परिणाम "हाँ" हल होता है, तो प्रत्येक शेयर $1 का भुगतान करता है। अगर "नहीं" हल होता है, तो आपके "हाँ" शेयर $0 का भुगतान करते हैं। लाभ सुरक्षित करने या नुकसान कम करने के लिए आप समाधान से पहले किसी भी समय अपने शेयर बेच सकते हैं।

"Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?" की वर्तमान संभावना "Yes" के लिए 100% है। इसका मतलब है कि Polymarket भीड़ वर्तमान में मानती है कि इस घटना के होने की 100% संभावना है। ये संभावनाएँ वास्तविक ट्रेड के आधार पर रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं।

"Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।