Hungarian parliamentary elections on April 12 delivered a crushing defeat to Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party, which lost its long-held supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly to Péter Magyar's Tisza party amid record turnout exceeding 77%. Orbán promptly conceded, signaling the end of his 16-year tenure as Prime Minister once the new parliament convenes and selects a successor, likely by summer. Trader consensus reflects this near-certain transition, pricing Yes at 98.5% as structural handover procedures unfold predictably under Hungary's constitutional framework. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary events like successful legal challenges to results or a no-confidence reversal, both improbable given the landslide margin and lack of disputes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक विक्टर ऑर्बान बाहर हो जाएँगे?
31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक विक्टर ऑर्बान बाहर हो जाएँगे?
हाँ
$150,361 वॉल्यूम
$150,361 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
$150,361 वॉल्यूम
$150,361 वॉल्यूम
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Hungarian parliamentary elections on April 12 delivered a crushing defeat to Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party, which lost its long-held supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly to Péter Magyar's Tisza party amid record turnout exceeding 77%. Orbán promptly conceded, signaling the end of his 16-year tenure as Prime Minister once the new parliament convenes and selects a successor, likely by summer. Trader consensus reflects this near-certain transition, pricing Yes at 98.5% as structural handover procedures unfold predictably under Hungary's constitutional framework. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary events like successful legal challenges to results or a no-confidence reversal, both improbable given the landslide margin and lack of disputes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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