Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no charges against an Iranian agent by April 30 at 95.5%, driven by the absence of any DOJ indictments, FBI arrests, or court filings in the past month amid escalating US-Iran tensions. Failed negotiations in Islamabad last week, US naval blockades starting April 13, and precision strikes on IRGC leaders like Majid Khademi have dominated headlines, but no fresh evidence from ongoing probes into assassination plots or sleeper cells has surfaced to signal imminent legal action. March convictions of IRGC-linked operatives for prior schemes underscore vigilance, yet procedural timelines make new charges unlikely in the remaining two weeks. Late-breaking arrests, uncovered terror directives, or special counsel revelations could still shift odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या 30 अप्रैल तक अमेरिका में ईरानी एजेंट पर आरोप लगाए जाएंगे?
क्या 30 अप्रैल तक अमेरिका में ईरानी एजेंट पर आरोप लगाए जाएंगे?
हाँ
$32,485 वॉल्यूम
$32,485 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
हाँ
$32,485 वॉल्यूम
$32,485 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individual alleged to be acting as an agent of the Iranian government by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Iranian agent” refers to any individual alleged to be acting on behalf of, under the direction of, or in coordination with the Iranian government (including its military or intelligence services) to conduct espionage, collect intelligence, or perform other covert operations that benefit Iran.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no charges against an Iranian agent by April 30 at 95.5%, driven by the absence of any DOJ indictments, FBI arrests, or court filings in the past month amid escalating US-Iran tensions. Failed negotiations in Islamabad last week, US naval blockades starting April 13, and precision strikes on IRGC leaders like Majid Khademi have dominated headlines, but no fresh evidence from ongoing probes into assassination plots or sleeper cells has surfaced to signal imminent legal action. March convictions of IRGC-linked operatives for prior schemes underscore vigilance, yet procedural timelines make new charges unlikely in the remaining two weeks. Late-breaking arrests, uncovered terror directives, or special counsel revelations could still shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individual alleged to be acting as an agent of the Iranian government by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Iranian agent” refers to any individual alleged to be acting on behalf of, under the direction of, or in coordination with the Iranian government (including its military or intelligence services) to conduct espionage, collect intelligence, or perform other covert operations that benefit Iran.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
“Iranian agent” refers to any individual alleged to be acting on behalf of, under the direction of, or in coordination with the Iranian government (including its military or intelligence services) to conduct espionage, collect intelligence, or perform other covert operations that benefit Iran.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 11, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$32,485समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 11, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individual alleged to be acting as an agent of the Iranian government by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Iranian agent” refers to any individual alleged to be acting on behalf of, under the direction of, or in coordination with the Iranian government (including its military or intelligence services) to conduct espionage, collect intelligence, or perform other covert operations that benefit Iran.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no charges against an Iranian agent by April 30 at 95.5%, driven by the absence of any DOJ indictments, FBI arrests, or court filings in the past month amid escalating US-Iran tensions. Failed negotiations in Islamabad last week, US naval blockades starting April 13, and precision strikes on IRGC leaders like Majid Khademi have dominated headlines, but no fresh evidence from ongoing probes into assassination plots or sleeper cells has surfaced to signal imminent legal action. March convictions of IRGC-linked operatives for prior schemes underscore vigilance, yet procedural timelines make new charges unlikely in the remaining two weeks. Late-breaking arrests, uncovered terror directives, or special counsel revelations could still shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individual alleged to be acting as an agent of the Iranian government by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Iranian agent” refers to any individual alleged to be acting on behalf of, under the direction of, or in coordination with the Iranian government (including its military or intelligence services) to conduct espionage, collect intelligence, or perform other covert operations that benefit Iran.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
“Iranian agent” refers to any individual alleged to be acting on behalf of, under the direction of, or in coordination with the Iranian government (including its military or intelligence services) to conduct espionage, collect intelligence, or perform other covert operations that benefit Iran.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$32,485समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 11, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no charges against an Iranian agent by April 30 at 95.5%, driven by the absence of any DOJ indictments, FBI arrests, or court filings in the past month amid escalating US-Iran tensions. Failed negotiations in Islamabad last week, US naval blockades starting April 13, and precision strikes on IRGC leaders like Majid Khademi have dominated headlines, but no fresh evidence from ongoing probes into assassination plots or sleeper cells has surfaced to signal imminent legal action. March convictions of IRGC-linked operatives for prior schemes underscore vigilance, yet procedural timelines make new charges unlikely in the remaining two weeks. Late-breaking arrests, uncovered terror directives, or special counsel revelations could still shift odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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