The ongoing 2026 Iran war, triggered by U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28 that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and hit nuclear facilities and military targets, features continued U.S. operations from bases in the UK, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Bahrain, alongside a U.S.-led Strait of Hormuz blockade to curb Iranian oil exports. Iran retaliated with missile barrages on Israel and Gulf states, escalating regional clashes. In the past week, Chinese and Iranian tankers broke the blockade on April 14, while Israel-Lebanon direct talks began to halt border fighting amid hints of broader U.S.-Iran peace negotiations. Traders watch for Gulf states or NATO allies shifting from logistics to direct military action, with Iranian accusations of U.S. ground invasion plans heightening uncertainty before any resolution date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या कोई अन्य देश ईरान के खिलाफ... तक सैन्य कार्रवाई करेगा?
क्या कोई अन्य देश ईरान के खिलाफ... तक सैन्य कार्रवाई करेगा?
$1,234,677 वॉल्यूम
15 अप्रैल, 2026
15 अप्रैल
2%
30 अप्रैल
6%
$1,234,677 वॉल्यूम
15 अप्रैल
$838,952 वॉल्यूम
2%
30 अप्रैल
$395,988 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Israel or the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying “military action” is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by a country other than Israel or the United States’ military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile or drone launched by such a country, this market will resolve to “Yes”).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground forces of countries other than Israel or the United States will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.The ongoing 2026 Iran war, triggered by U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28 that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and hit nuclear facilities and military targets, features continued U.S. operations from bases in the UK, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Bahrain, alongside a U.S.-led Strait of Hormuz blockade to curb Iranian oil exports. Iran retaliated with missile barrages on Israel and Gulf states, escalating regional clashes. In the past week, Chinese and Iranian tankers broke the blockade on April 14, while Israel-Lebanon direct talks began to halt border fighting amid hints of broader U.S.-Iran peace negotiations. Traders watch for Gulf states or NATO allies shifting from logistics to direct military action, with Iranian accusations of U.S. ground invasion plans heightening uncertainty before any resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Israel or the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying “military action” is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by a country other than Israel or the United States’ military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile or drone launched by such a country, this market will resolve to “Yes”).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground forces of countries other than Israel or the United States will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying “military action” is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by a country other than Israel or the United States’ military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile or drone launched by such a country, this market will resolve to “Yes”).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground forces of countries other than Israel or the United States will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,234,677समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Israel or the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying “military action” is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by a country other than Israel or the United States’ military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile or drone launched by such a country, this market will resolve to “Yes”).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground forces of countries other than Israel or the United States will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.The ongoing 2026 Iran war, triggered by U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28 that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and hit nuclear facilities and military targets, features continued U.S. operations from bases in the UK, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Bahrain, alongside a U.S.-led Strait of Hormuz blockade to curb Iranian oil exports. Iran retaliated with missile barrages on Israel and Gulf states, escalating regional clashes. In the past week, Chinese and Iranian tankers broke the blockade on April 14, while Israel-Lebanon direct talks began to halt border fighting amid hints of broader U.S.-Iran peace negotiations. Traders watch for Gulf states or NATO allies shifting from logistics to direct military action, with Iranian accusations of U.S. ground invasion plans heightening uncertainty before any resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Israel or the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying “military action” is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by a country other than Israel or the United States’ military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile or drone launched by such a country, this market will resolve to “Yes”).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground forces of countries other than Israel or the United States will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying “military action” is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by a country other than Israel or the United States’ military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile or drone launched by such a country, this market will resolve to “Yes”).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground forces of countries other than Israel or the United States will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
वॉल्यूम
$1,234,677समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing 2026 Iran war, triggered by U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28 that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and hit nuclear facilities and military targets, features continued U.S. operations from bases in the UK, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Bahrain, alongside a U.S.-led Strait of Hormuz blockade to curb Iranian oil exports. Iran retaliated with missile barrages on Israel and Gulf states, escalating regional clashes. In the past week, Chinese and Iranian tankers broke the blockade on April 14, while Israel-Lebanon direct talks began to halt border fighting amid hints of broader U.S.-Iran peace negotiations. Traders watch for Gulf states or NATO allies shifting from logistics to direct military action, with Iranian accusations of U.S. ground invasion plans heightening uncertainty before any resolution date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न