Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs positions a minimum near 23°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai on September 15, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 5–12 mph, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where overnight lows average 20–22°C absent major systems. Recent observations show no incoming fronts or moisture that would suppress cooling or elevate readings, keeping probabilities concentrated on 22–24°C. Resolution depends on official station data after the period ends, with any late model shifts potentially adjusting implied odds before final measurement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 15?
23°C 52%
24°C 30%
22°C 13%
20°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
8%
21°C
6%
22°C
13%
23°C
52%
24°C
30%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 52%
24°C 30%
22°C 13%
20°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
18°C or below
$260 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$269 Vol.
8%
21°C
$525 Vol.
6%
22°C
$1,337 Vol.
13%
23°C
$551 Vol.
52%
24°C
$1,124 Vol.
30%
25°C
$562 Vol.
4%
26°C
$58 Vol.
1%
27°C
$48 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$218 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs positions a minimum near 23°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai on September 15, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 5–12 mph, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where overnight lows average 20–22°C absent major systems. Recent observations show no incoming fronts or moisture that would suppress cooling or elevate readings, keeping probabilities concentrated on 22–24°C. Resolution depends on official station data after the period ends, with any late model shifts potentially adjusting implied odds before final measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$5,190Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs positions a minimum near 23°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai on September 15, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 5–12 mph, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where overnight lows average 20–22°C absent major systems. Recent observations show no incoming fronts or moisture that would suppress cooling or elevate readings, keeping probabilities concentrated on 22–24°C. Resolution depends on official station data after the period ends, with any late model shifts potentially adjusting implied odds before final measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,190Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs positions a minimum near 23°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai on September 15, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 5–12 mph, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where overnight lows average 20–22°C absent major systems. Recent observations show no incoming fronts or moisture that would suppress cooling or elevate readings, keeping probabilities concentrated on 22–24°C. Resolution depends on official station data after the period ends, with any late model shifts potentially adjusting implied odds before final measurement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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