Democratic Party of Korea lawmaker Chun Jae-soo secured the nomination as the party's Busan mayoral candidate last week after winning the primary with over 50% of votes against challengers like Lee Jae-sung, solidifying his frontrunner status ahead of the June 3 local elections. Recent polls, including JTBC's April 14 survey showing Chun at 45% versus incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon's 35%, and Busan MBC's results with Chun at 43.3% to Park's 34.6%, reflect his consistent lead in this battleground race traditionally favoring conservatives. Trader consensus prices Chun's victory at 79% implied probability, driven by Democratic momentum, Park's incumbency challenges amid national party headwinds, and low support for other candidates like Cho Kuk, positioning the matchup as Chun's to lose barring shifts in voter turnout or scandals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2026 Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Busan
2026 Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Busan
Chun Jae-soo 79%
Park Heong-joon 19%
Cho Kuk <1%
Kim Do-eup <1%
$387,309 Vol.
$387,309 Vol.
Chun Jae-soo
79%
Park Heong-joon
19%
Cho Kuk
1%
Kim Do-eup
<1%
Park Seong-hoon
<1%
Cho Kyoung-tae
<1%
Choi In-ho
<1%
Lee Jae-sung
<1%
Hong Soon-heon
<1%
Park Jae-ho
<1%
Kim Young-choon
<1%
Suh Byung-soo
<1%
Chun Jae-soo 79%
Park Heong-joon 19%
Cho Kuk <1%
Kim Do-eup <1%
$387,309 Vol.
$387,309 Vol.
Chun Jae-soo
79%
Park Heong-joon
19%
Cho Kuk
1%
Kim Do-eup
<1%
Park Seong-hoon
<1%
Cho Kyoung-tae
<1%
Choi In-ho
<1%
Lee Jae-sung
<1%
Hong Soon-heon
<1%
Park Jae-ho
<1%
Kim Young-choon
<1%
Suh Byung-soo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Party of Korea lawmaker Chun Jae-soo secured the nomination as the party's Busan mayoral candidate last week after winning the primary with over 50% of votes against challengers like Lee Jae-sung, solidifying his frontrunner status ahead of the June 3 local elections. Recent polls, including JTBC's April 14 survey showing Chun at 45% versus incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon's 35%, and Busan MBC's results with Chun at 43.3% to Park's 34.6%, reflect his consistent lead in this battleground race traditionally favoring conservatives. Trader consensus prices Chun's victory at 79% implied probability, driven by Democratic momentum, Park's incumbency challenges amid national party headwinds, and low support for other candidates like Cho Kuk, positioning the matchup as Chun's to lose barring shifts in voter turnout or scandals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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