Alabama's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Gary Palmer facing Democrat Maurice Mercer in the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with historical margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. Trader pricing clusters around 25-35 point Republican victories, reflecting expectations of comfortable but not overwhelming success driven by district partisanship, limited Democratic infrastructure, and typical midterm turnout patterns in suburban Birmingham areas. The absence of major national shifts or local controversies since the August primaries has kept probabilities balanced across those margin bins. Late-cycle developments such as changes in voter enthusiasm, campaign spending, or broader political environment could still widen or narrow the final spread before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRepublican 30-35% 26%
Republican 25-30% 26%
Republican 20-25% 22%
Republican 35-40% 10.0%
$13,094 Vol.
$13,094 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican 50%+
2%
Republican 45-50%
1%
Republican 40-45%
4%
Republican 35-40%
10%
Republican 30-35%
26%
Republican 25-30%
26%
Republican 20-25%
22%
Republican 10-20%
4%
Republican 0-10%
1%
Democrat Wins
1%
Republican 30-35% 26%
Republican 25-30% 26%
Republican 20-25% 22%
Republican 35-40% 10.0%
$13,094 Vol.
$13,094 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican 50%+
$2,003 Vol.
2%
Republican 45-50%
$1,836 Vol.
1%
Republican 40-45%
$580 Vol.
4%
Republican 35-40%
$673 Vol.
10%
Republican 30-35%
$901 Vol.
26%
Republican 25-30%
$1,179 Vol.
26%
Republican 20-25%
$1,588 Vol.
22%
Republican 10-20%
$478 Vol.
4%
Republican 0-10%
$3,599 Vol.
1%
Democrat Wins
$257 Vol.
1%
The 2026 AL-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 AL-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alabama's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Gary Palmer facing Democrat Maurice Mercer in the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with historical margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. Trader pricing clusters around 25-35 point Republican victories, reflecting expectations of comfortable but not overwhelming success driven by district partisanship, limited Democratic infrastructure, and typical midterm turnout patterns in suburban Birmingham areas. The absence of major national shifts or local controversies since the August primaries has kept probabilities balanced across those margin bins. Late-cycle developments such as changes in voter enthusiasm, campaign spending, or broader political environment could still widen or narrow the final spread before Election Day.
The 2026 AL-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 AL-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 AL-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
Volume
$13,094Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 AL-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 AL-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alabama's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Gary Palmer facing Democrat Maurice Mercer in the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with historical margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. Trader pricing clusters around 25-35 point Republican victories, reflecting expectations of comfortable but not overwhelming success driven by district partisanship, limited Democratic infrastructure, and typical midterm turnout patterns in suburban Birmingham areas. The absence of major national shifts or local controversies since the August primaries has kept probabilities balanced across those margin bins. Late-cycle developments such as changes in voter enthusiasm, campaign spending, or broader political environment could still widen or narrow the final spread before Election Day.
The 2026 AL-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 AL-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 AL-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,094Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Alabama's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Gary Palmer facing Democrat Maurice Mercer in the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with historical margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. Trader pricing clusters around 25-35 point Republican victories, reflecting expectations of comfortable but not overwhelming success driven by district partisanship, limited Democratic infrastructure, and typical midterm turnout patterns in suburban Birmingham areas. The absence of major national shifts or local controversies since the August primaries has kept probabilities balanced across those margin bins. Late-cycle developments such as changes in voter enthusiasm, campaign spending, or broader political environment could still widen or narrow the final spread before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il candidato del Partito Democratico vincerà le elezioni della Camera AL-07 del 2026 con un margine del 30%-35%?
24%
Sì
Il candidato del Partito Democratico vincerà le elezioni alla Camera AL-02 del 2026 con un margine del 5% o più?
37%
Sì
Il candidato del Partito Repubblicano vincerà le elezioni per la Camera dell'AL-01 del 2026 con un margine del 25%-30%?
26%
Sì
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